Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event is a set of five Polymarket contracts on how many receiving yards Emeka Egbuka records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Each contract resolves "Yes" if his total equals or exceeds its listed threshold, which ranges from 499.5 to 1,299.5 yards [1].

The rules include several special cases. If Egbuka does not play in the regular season for any reason, the market resolves "No" [1]. If the season is shortened, truncated, or ends early, the outcome is determined from available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or the yardage total cannot be determined, the market resolves "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is official NFL information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00Z [1]. This is a contract closing field, not a date on which any event is announced or expected to occur.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:54:21Z [1]. These are saved values from earlier today, not live quotes, and they are not executable prices.

Across the five thresholds, the Yes prices are 0.855 (499.5+), 0.745 (699.5+), 0.72 (899.5+), 0.185 (1,099.5+), and 0.155 (1,299.5+) [1]. Each contract's No price is the complement of its Yes price in the snapshot. The Yes prices fall as the threshold rises, with the largest drop between the 899.5 and 1,099.5 thresholds. Each contract is a separate question, so these figures should be read as individual snapshot values rather than as one distribution of outcomes.

The evidence shows five of five saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The provider's own note states that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Volume is not included in the supplied data, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not describe any news or recent developments. It also does not provide any historical accuracy information about this type of market. Because the contracts use different thresholds, their prices should not be compared as if they measured the same outcome, and differences in price do not by themselves indicate an opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Emeka Egbuka 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.