Racing Club vs Wanderers: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
Racing Club vs Wanderers: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
RCM vs WAN (Oct 17) If Wanderers wins by more than X goals in the Racing Club vs Wanderers professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Racing Club vs Wanderers: Spread" uses a margin rule. Under the stated terms, if Wanderers wins by more than X goals in the Uruguay Primera Division game "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026," the market resolves to Yes. The rule counts the result "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Each threshold is a separate contract, so a Racing Club margin contract and a Wanderers margin contract are not the same bet, and neither is interchangeable with a different goal line.
The saved event lists four markets, all active: Racing Club by more than 1.5 goals, Racing Club by more than 2.5 goals, Wanderers by more than 1.5 goals, and Wanderers by more than 2.5 goals [1]. The contract wording says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied," while the market records carry an endDate of 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z [1]. That field is a contract data value, not an announced event date, and it does not establish when the game will be played or resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T04:25:06.807Z [1]. These are past readings. They do not show live prices now.
The quoted Yes prices in this snapshot are:
- Racing Club by more than 1.5 goals: 0.23
- Racing Club by more than 2.5 goals: 0.085
- Wanderers by more than 1.5 goals: 0.08
- Wanderers by more than 2.5 goals: 0.115
These figures are snapshot quotes, not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities. The Yes prices are not directly comparable as a single distribution, because they reflect different thresholds and are not averaged or combined here. A difference between two contracts' prices does not by itself indicate an opportunity, since their wording and thresholds differ.
What remains uncertain
The sample is complete for this saved event: all four markets are included and partialSample is false [1]. The sampleWarning still applies. It states that the listed markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Other margin lines or outcomes may exist outside this record, so no conclusion should be drawn about unlisted outcomes.
The evidence does not explain why prices are at these levels, how many traders are involved, or what volume or liquidity exists. The listed end time is missing from the official excerpt, so the timing of closing and resolution cannot be confirmed from this snapshot.
References
- Kalshi: Racing Club vs Wanderers: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T03:00:06.448Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a sports margin contract on Kalshi for the Racing Club vs Wanderers match in the Uruguay Primera Division, which the rules describe as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The rules say a market resolves to Yes if Wanderers wins by more than a set number of goals. The match is measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalties are excluded [1]. The rules excerpt shows the threshold as a placeholder letter, while the individual markets in the saved event are titled with specific thresholds of 1.5 and 2.5 goals [1]. The saved event includes four markets: Racing Club winning by more than 1.5 goals, Racing Club winning by more than 2.5 goals, Wanderers winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Wanderers winning by more than 2.5 goals [1]. The rules state that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The provider's status for the event was active when it was saved, and the listed end time was not supplied [1]. Each market also carries an end date of October 19, 2026, but that field is a market date in the saved data and should not be read as an announced kickoff, result, or settlement date. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected with the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the goal margin of one match rather than the simple winner. A Yes result on a Racing Club market requires Racing Club to win by more than the stated number of goals, and a Yes result on a Wanderers market requires Wanderers to win by more than that number, using the 90-minute-plus-stoppage-time window that excludes extra time and penalties [1]. Because each threshold is a separate yes or no question, the markets describe different parts of the possible margin rather than a single full field of results [1]. The price snapshot saved for these markets was observed at 03:00 UTC on October 17, 2026. At that time, the Yes prices were 0.23 for Racing Club winning by more than 1.5 goals, 0.085 for Racing Club winning by more than 2.5 goals, 0.115 for Wanderers winning by more than 2.5 goals, and 0.08 for Wanderers winning by more than 1.5 goals [1]. These are snapshot prices from one saved moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome. The saved sample includes all four markets for this event, but the sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world margin.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the contract measuring?
It measures whether the winning side in the Racing Club vs Wanderers match wins by more than a stated number of goals, based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties [1].
Do extra time and penalties count?
No. The rules state that the match is measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].
Who runs this market?
The rules identify Kalshi as the provider and state that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
Does the market show who is likely to win?
The saved prices are snapshots of Yes and No prices for specific margin thresholds [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they do not establish how likely any result is.
What happens when the market closes?
The rules state that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The supplied evidence does not describe how postponed or abandoned matches are handled.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
