Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract asks whether Hyperliquid's price moves up or down over a short window. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the provider states that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers comparing this with a spot price elsewhere should expect differences in method and reference data.
The listed end time is 2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z, which matches the 3:30PM ET end in the title [1]. The title window runs from 3:25PM to 3:30PM ET. The listed end time is the provider's close setting, not a record that resolution has occurred.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T02:20:03.641Z [1]. The prices describe the observation moment, about two and a half hours before retrieval, so they should not be read as live quotes. In that snapshot, "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample contains only this one market, so no comparison with other contracts or platforms is possible here.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The provider also notes that its listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For a binary contract like this one, the two listed outcomes are the full saved set, but that is a statement about the saved record only.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include current prices, trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. It also does not explain why the prices stood where they did. Because the prices predate the retrieval time, they may have changed since observation. The eventual outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP data within the stated window, and this evidence contains no resolution result.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on the HYPE/USD pair, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET." The provider's rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the resolution source as the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, which is a 60-second TWAP stream [1]. The rules also state that the contract concerns only the Chainlink TWAP data stream for HYPE/USD, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means a contract outcome depends on that specific data feed, so a reader should not assume it tracks any particular exchange price. The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z [1]. That is the time the contract is listed to end, not a confirmed resolution. At the time of the saved record, the provider status was active [1]. The saved market snapshot shows two outcomes: Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are prices observed at the provider observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record covers a single market for this event, and the saved sample is complete for that event, so no other outcomes are part of this comparison.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the HYPE/USD TWAP over a five-minute window, from 3:25 PM to 3:30 PM ET on October 24, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison is between a time-weighted average and the starting price, the outcome depends on the path of the feed across the window rather than only its final value [1]. The rules tie the result to one named Chainlink stream, so the contract reflects that feed's data specifically [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the TWAP of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the listed end time mean the contract has already resolved?
No. The record gives a listed end time of 2026-10-24T19:30:00.000Z and an active status at the time of the saved record, which does not confirm a resolution [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.