ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket event, "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T12:45:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time for the contract, not a record of the actual resolution, which the supplied evidence does not contain.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:07:17.716Z [1]. The snapshot is therefore about two hours older than the retrieval time, and it should not be read as the current price. These are observed snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market and includes all saved markets for this event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because only this single contract is in the evidence, there is no cross-contract or cross-platform comparison to make. The equal prices simply describe the two outcomes in this one saved snapshot. Volume is not reported as part of this evidence, so it says nothing about liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it does not describe any trading activity beyond the saved prices. It also does not include the TWAP values for the window, the beginning-of-range price, or the final result. A reader should not infer the outcome from the snapshot.
Other ZCash contracts with different time windows or wording may use different reference ranges and close times, so their prices should not be compared directly with this one. Because the excerpt describes the Chainlink stream specifically, readers should check the listed resolution source for any contract they compare.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. Its title is "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET", and it is categorized under Crypto [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash will move up or down over one five-minute window. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price being measured is specified narrowly. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not according to any other source or spot market [1]. A trader who reads prices on an exchange or another data feed could therefore see a different movement from the one that determines this contract. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-16T12:45:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the scheduled close of the measurement window under the contract rules. It is not evidence that the window has closed or that a result has been determined.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD time-weighted average price over the five-minute window ending at the listed end time finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on an averaged price rather than a single trade, a brief spike or dip near the window's edges may not determine the result on its own. Reading the contract correctly requires attention to the data stream named in the rules, the window boundaries, and the comparison that decides between Up and Down [1]. The price snapshot recorded for this event showed both outcomes at 0.5 [1]. That reading was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and it was retrieved by the application at a later time. It shows how the market was priced at that moment. It is not an executable quote, a verified probability of an outcome, or a live price now.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the market is about that data stream and not about any other sources or spot markets [1].
What does the listed end time mean?
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T12:45:00.000Z [1]. It marks the scheduled end of the measurement window under the contract's listing. It does not show that a result has been reached.
Do the displayed prices show the chance that ZCash goes up?
The recorded prices were 0.5 for Up and 0.5 for Down at the observation time [1]. These are market snapshots. They are not verified probabilities or prices that can be executed.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
