NCAA Football: Georgia 2026 Win Total
PM $6.3K
1
4
NCAA Football: Georgia 2026 Win Total
PM $6.3K
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 7.5+ Wins at 96.5%.
Polymarket
- 7.5+ Wins96.5%
- 8.5+ Wins90.5%
- 9.5+ Wins75%
- 10.5+ Wins24.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $6.3K
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event is "NCAA Football: Georgia 2026 Win Total" on Polymarket, with five threshold contracts asking whether Georgia will record more than 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, or 11.5 wins in the 2026 season [1]. Each contract resolves "Yes" if the regular-season win total exceeds its listed number [1].
The rules are specific. Only official regular-season games count, so conference championship, bowl, and College Football Playoff games are excluded even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins [1]. If the regular season is cancelled, or postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the win count cannot be determined, the market resolves "No" [1]. The primary resolution source is official NCAA and conference records, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
The listed end time is 2026-12-27T04:59:00.000Z for every contract [1]. This is a listed close time, not a resolution, and it does not show when any game will be played.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:59:19Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. For reference, the quoted Yes prices were 0.968 (over 7.5), 0.915 (over 8.5), 0.905 (over 9.5), 0.76 (over 10.5), and 0.405 (over 11.5) [1]. Each contract's Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot.
The thresholds are cumulative, so the contracts are related but not interchangeable. The drop between the 9.5 and 10.5 contracts is much larger than the drop between 7.5 and 8.5, which is a comparison of quoted values only. The sample includes all five saved markets for this one event, and the coverage record marks it as complete for that event [1]. These are five thresholds from a single provider, so no cross-platform comparison applies here. Differences in price should not be read as arbitrage without checking the exact rules, close times, and execution conditions.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, how many traders hold each position, or how much liquidity sits behind each quote. The volume figures were not supplied, and volume would not establish liquidity or trader count in any case.
The evidence also does not include the 2026 schedule, Georgia's results to date, or any news affecting the team. Because the snapshot is from October 16, 2026, later prices may differ. Readers should check the current listing and the official rules before drawing conclusions about any contract.
References
- Polymarket: NCAA Football: Georgia 2026 Win Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract belongs to a Polymarket event titled "NCAA Football: Georgia 2026 Win Total." Each market asks whether the University of Georgia football team will record more than a listed number of regular season wins in 2026. The saved event contains five thresholds, from more than 7.5 wins up to more than 11.5 wins [1]. The contract rules state that the market resolves "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number and "No" otherwise [1]. The rules define the counting window narrowly. Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count, even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1]. Only played games that end in a win count toward the total. If a team plays fewer games than scheduled because of cancellation, weather, forfeit, or another reason, only recorded wins count, and canceled or unplayed games are not treated as wins [1]. The contract also includes a cancellation rule. If the 2026 NCAA Division I Football regular season is cancelled, is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or cannot be determined in terms of how many wins the team recorded within that timeframe, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-12-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the contract's closing time under its rules. It is not an announced date for a game, a season milestone, or a resolution decision. The primary resolution source is official NCAA and conference records, and the rules say a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Historical Context
The 2026 NCAA Division I FBS football season is described by a Wikipedia page as the 157th season of college football in the United States, the 121st season organized by the NCAA, and the 51st season of the Football Bowl Subdivision, the highest level of competition [2]. That page states that the regular season began on August 29 and is scheduled to end on December 12, with the postseason beginning on December 15 and the College Football Playoff National Championship set for January 25, 2027 at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada [2]. This is the third season of the 12-team College Football Playoff system [2]. These are the season details as described on that page when it was retrieved. They are background for the season and do not confirm how many games any team has played or won.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a team's regular season wins against several thresholds, so each market asks a different question about the same season. Because the rules count only official regular season wins, a team's postseason results do not affect the outcome [1]. The rules also make clear that scheduled games that are canceled or not played do not count as wins, so a team's win total depends on games actually recorded [1]. Prices on the event are market snapshots that show what traders were paying at a given moment. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities of outcomes. Trading volume also does not show liquidity or how many people traded. The five thresholds are separate contracts with their own prices, so differences between them should be read as separate market conditions and not as a fixed relationship between outcomes.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which games count toward the win total?
Only official regular season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count, even if the NCAA recognizes them as such [1].
What happens if a game is canceled or not played?
Canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. Only actual wins recorded count toward the total [1].
How does the contract resolve if the season is disrupted?
If the 2026 NCAA Division I Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the team recorded in that timeframe, the market resolves to "No" [1].
Where are the results checked?
The primary resolution source is official NCAA and conference records. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Do the five markets measure different thresholds?
Yes. Each market asks whether the team's regular season wins will exceed a different listed number, from 7.5 to 11.5 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.