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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Pro Football: Michael Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards

Pro Football: Michael Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards
Vol

PM $7.5K

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 324.5+ receiving yards at 91.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 324.5+ receiving yards91.5%
  2. 524.5+ receiving yards80.5%
  3. 724.5+ receiving yards53%
  4. 924.5+ receiving yards35.5%
  5. 1,124.5+ receiving yards27.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $7.5K

Reported volume ยท provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving yards Michael Wilson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Michael Wilson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving yards Michael Wilson recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers five Polymarket contracts under one event about the receiving yards Michael Wilson records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Each contract asks whether his total meets a different threshold. Each resolves "Yes" if his yardage "equals or exceeds the listed number" and "No" otherwise [1].

The rules also set edge cases. If Wilson does not play in the regular season "for any reason," the contract resolves "No" [1]. If the season is shortened, the outcome uses "available official data for completed games" [1]. If the season is cancelled, or postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the yardage cannot be determined, the contract resolves "50-50" [1]. The resolution source is "official information from the NFL," though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

The listed end time for all five contracts is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not an announced event date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and this review retrieved the record at 2026-10-16T05:45:39Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

  • 324.5+ yards: Yes 0.86, No 0.14
  • 524.5+ yards: Yes 0.84, No 0.16
  • 724.5+ yards: Yes 0.725, No 0.275
  • 924.5+ yards: Yes 0.465, No 0.535
  • 1,124.5+ yards: Yes 0.277, No 0.723

Each contract is a separate question with its own threshold, so the prices should not be averaged or combined into one figure. Within this event, the Yes prices fall as the threshold rises. The evidence does not explain why.

The sample covers all five saved markets for this event, and the coverage record reports no partial sample [1]. Even so, the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The sample is also limited to Polymarket, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so none of those can be inferred from the prices. Prices can change after the observation time. The contract rules also leave room for interpretation in the 50-50 and shortened-season cases, and the resolution source allows credible reporting alongside official NFL information [1]. Readers should check the full contract terms before relying on any reading of this snapshot.

References

  1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Michael Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "Pro Football: Michael Wilson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards." The event contains five separate Yes or No contracts, each asking whether Michael Wilson will record at least a listed number of receiving yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The thresholds are 324.5, 524.5, 724.5, 924.5, and 1,124.5 yards [1]. Each contract is a distinct question. A Yes outcome requires Wilson to meet or exceed its specific threshold, and a No outcome applies otherwise [1]. The contract rules set out several outcomes. If Wilson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves to No [1]. If the regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early, the outcome is determined using available official data for completed games [1]. If the season is cancelled, or is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined how many receiving yards Wilson recorded in that period, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the NFL, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The listed end time for all five contracts is January 27, 2027 at 04:59 UTC [1]. That date appears in the contract rules as a closing time. It is not an announced date for any game or event. The saved snapshot was observed on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 UTC, and the source was retrieved at 05:45 UTC the same day [1]. At that observation, the Yes prices were 0.86 for 324.5 yards, 0.84 for 524.5 yards, 0.725 for 724.5 yards, 0.465 for 924.5 yards, and 0.277 for 1,124.5 yards [1]. In this snapshot, Yes prices fell as the threshold rose. These prices are snapshots and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as the likelihood of any outcome. All five markets in the saved event are included in this sample, and the sample is not partial [1]. Trading volume is not included in this description and should not be treated as a measure of liquidity or of how many people participated.

Why It Matters

Each contract measures a single, defined statistic: the receiving yards Michael Wilson records across the 2026-27 NFL regular season [1]. Because the five contracts use different thresholds, they express different questions about the same statistic, and each one settles independently. The rules also define how unusual situations are handled, including non-participation, a shortened season, and cancellation or late postponement, so the outcome can be understood from the contract text itself [1]. Readers should keep in mind that the prices shown are a single snapshot from one platform. They do not show how the market will move, and differences between contracts with different thresholds do not by themselves indicate a trading opportunity.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Does a contract resolve to Yes if Michael Wilson does not play?

No. The contract rules state that if Michael Wilson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the market resolves to No [1].

What happens if the regular season is shortened or ends early?

The outcome is determined using available official data for completed games [1].

When would a contract resolve to 50-50?

The contract rules say a market resolves to 50-50 if the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, if it is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined how many receiving yards Michael Wilson recorded within that timeframe [1].

Are the prices in this entry probabilities?

The prices are snapshots from a provider observation on October 16, 2026 at 03:00 UTC [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be treated as confirmed chances of any outcome.

Does a lower price on a higher threshold mean that outcome is less likely to be missed?

No. Each threshold is a separate contract with its own rules [1]. Differences in price between contracts do not establish an arbitrage opportunity, and the snapshot does not explain why prices differ.

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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