Diesel prices tomorrow
K 4.5K contracts
1
21
Diesel prices tomorrow
K 4.5K contracts
1
21
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $6.290 at 99.5%.
Kalshi
- Above $6.29099.5%
- Above $6.28599.5%
- Above $6.28099.5%
- Above $6.27599.5%
- Above $6.27099.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 4.5K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
21
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
November 1, 2026 If the Diesel Price on November 1, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T18:00:06.010Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks whether the diesel price on October 28, 2026 will be above a stated threshold. The source states that "If the Diesel Price on October 28, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each listed market uses a different X, so the thresholds, not just the date, determine what each contract pays.
The rules also include an early close condition: "This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released" [1]. A reader should therefore not assume the contract runs to its listed end time. The excerpt says the listed end time is "not supplied" [1], but the market records carry an end date of 2026-11-04T07:30:00.000Z [1]. That field is a provider record, not an announced resolution event, and it does not replace the early close condition.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-27T18:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T20:25:58Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes 12 of 21 markets from this Kalshi event [1]. The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, then volume [1]. Because of this selection, the omitted nine markets should not be read as lower-priced or as part of a complete ranking.
Within the included sample, Yes prices of 0.995 appear for thresholds from $6.300 through $6.345 [1]. The $6.350 threshold shows Yes at 0.625 and No at 0.375, and the $6.355 threshold shows Yes at 0.095 and No at 0.905 [1]. The price pattern describes these snapshots only. The sample does not show why prices are where they are, and it does not indicate how many participants hold each view.
Volume is not included in the displayed prices and should not be read as liquidity. The included markets are from one provider event, so they should not be compared with markets on other platforms as if the outcomes were identical.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show current prices, the diesel price result, or whether the early close condition has been triggered. Because the snapshot is dated, readers should check the provider for later data. Contracts with different thresholds should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity merely because their prices differ.
References
- Kalshi: Diesel prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T18:00:06.010Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This Kalshi event, titled Diesel prices tomorrow and listed in the Economics category, contains contracts on the diesel price on a single date, October 28, 2026 [1]. According to the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if the Diesel Price on October 28, 2026 is above a stated threshold [1]. The event carries a separate contract for each threshold, so one event can hold many contracts at different price levels [1]. The rules include an early close condition. The market will close and expire early if the economic data is released [1]. The event excerpt does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market records in the snapshot show an end date of November 4, 2026 at 07:30 UTC [1]. That is a provider data field, not an announced date for the diesel price or for resolution. At the observed snapshot time of 18:00 UTC on October 27, 2026, the included thresholds from $6.300 through $6.345 each showed a Yes price of 0.995 and a No price of 0.005. The $6.350 threshold showed Yes at 0.625 and No at 0.375. The $6.355 threshold showed Yes at 0.095 and No at 0.905 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Historical Context
Encyclopedia background describes the 2026 Iran war fuel crisis as a worldwide fuel crisis caused by the war between Iran and the U.S.-Israel coalition [2]. The entry says the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which over 20% of the world's oil trade passes, and attacks on energy infrastructure in Iran and several Gulf Cooperation Council countries led to a large disruption in global oil supplies [2]. It also says the disruption led to rising global oil prices and fuel shortages in countries that imported most of their fuel from the Persian Gulf region [2]. This is historical reference material. It does not establish current fuel conditions, and the supplied sources do not link this background to the price of the diesel contracts.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the diesel price on October 28, 2026 is above a given threshold under the event rules [1]. Its prices reflect how the market currently values each threshold outcome, which may be of interest to people following diesel prices [1]. The supplied sources do not explain what drives those prices, so the background on the fuel crisis should be read as context rather than as an explanation of any price level [2].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean on this contract?
Under the rules, the market resolves to Yes if the Diesel Price on October 28, 2026 is above the threshold named in that contract [1].
Can the market close before October 28, 2026?
Yes, the rules state that the market will close and expire early if the economic data is released [1].
Which diesel price source is used to resolve the contract?
The supplied rules do not name a diesel price source, so the resolution source cannot be identified from this evidence [1].
Why are the prices shown only for some thresholds?
The sample includes 12 of 21 markets in this provider event, so it is a partial sample and does not show the full set of thresholds [1]. The sample was ordered by the highest valid Yes price, and rankings should not be read across different events or providers [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
