Solana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
PM $0
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 0% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes0%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Solana price over a five-minute window. The source states that "This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] The resolution source is Chainlink, and the source specifies that "this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets." [1] A reader comparing this contract with another Solana market should check whether that market uses the same data stream and window.
The listed end time is 2026-01-20T12:35:00.000Z [1]. The title refers to January 20, but the snapshot was observed on 2026-10-15 and retrieved on the same date. The listed end time is therefore earlier than the observation and retrieval times. The provider status is recorded as "active" [1], but this snapshot does not show whether or how the contract resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot contains one market with two outcomes. The "Yes" outcome is priced at 0 and the "No" outcome at 1 [1]. These are snapshot values from the provider data, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They show what the provider reported at observation time and do not indicate whether a trade could be filled at those levels.
The coverage record lists one market, with one included and no partial sample [1]. The sample therefore covers every saved market for this event. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the real-world question. The volume figure is not provided in this snapshot, so this record cannot show liquidity or the number of participants.
No other platform or event is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the Solana price at the start or end of the window, the Chainlink values used for resolution, or the final resolution. It also does not explain why the quoted prices appear as they do. The snapshot is limited to the saved provider data at the observation time and should not be read as a current market view on 2026-10-15.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval crypto price contract on Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET." The contract asks whether the price of Solana, measured against the U.S. dollar, will be higher at the end of a five-minute window than at its start. The market will resolve to "Up" if the price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used for resolution is specified in the contract. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream [1]. The contract states that it concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because prices on other venues or in other data feeds may differ, and the contract does not refer to them. A difference between prices on two contracts, or between this contract and another market, does not by itself show a trading opportunity, since the two may use different rules, time windows, or price sources. The saved record lists an end time of January 20, 2026, at 12:35 UTC, which corresponds to the 7:35 AM ET end of the window [1]. At the time the provider record was observed, its status was shown as active [1]. The evidence does not include a final resolution outcome for this contract, so this entry does not say whether the market resolved to Up or Down.
Why It Matters
The contract measures short-term directional movement in the Chainlink SOL/USD data stream over a five-minute window. Because the rules compare the end price with the start price, the outcome depends only on whether the price at the end is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, using the named data stream [1]. Its design is useful for understanding how a directional short-interval contract is defined: the time window, the measured asset, the price source, and the tie rule are all stated in the rules [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract actually measure?
It measures whether the Solana price at the end of a five-minute window, from 7:30 AM to 7:35 AM ET on January 20, is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The outcome is based on the Chainlink SOL/USD data stream. The contract states that other sources and spot markets are not the reference [1].
What happens if the price is exactly the same at the start and end?
The contract resolves to "Up" when the end price is greater than or equal to the start price, so an equal price resolves to "Up" [1].
Does the listed end date mean the market is still open today?
The record lists an end time of January 20, 2026, at 12:35 UTC [1]. That date is earlier than the current date in this article's snapshot, and the evidence does not include a resolution outcome. The entry therefore does not describe the contract as open or resolved today.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.