Rodionov vs Basilashvili
K 336.62 contracts
1
2
Rodionov vs Basilashvili
K 336.62 contracts
1
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Nikoloz Basilashvili at 53%.
Kalshi
- Nikoloz Basilashvili53%
- Jurij Rodionov41.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 336.62 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Rodionov vs Basilashvili (Oct 25) If X wins the Rodionov vs Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Rodionov vs Basilashvili professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The snapshot covers two markets from one Kalshi event, "Rodionov vs Basilashvili," for a 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 match. One market is titled "Nikoloz Basilashvili wins" and the other "Jurij Rodionov wins." Each resolves to Yes if the named player wins the match "after a ball has been played" [1]. If the match is cancelled before it starts, due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another reason, the market "will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks" [1].
The event label includes "(Oct 25)," but that appears in the contract title and is not evidence of when the match will be played. The source does not supply an announced match time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 15:00:06 UTC on October 24, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 15:58:10 UTC the same day. These figures describe that moment only and are not live quotes. Basilashvili's Yes price is 0.72 and his No price is 0.28 [1]. Rodionov's Yes price is 0.435 and his No price is 0.565 [1]. Taken at face value, the two Yes prices sum to 1.155. The evidence does not explain this gap, and it should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity, because these are separate snapshot prices rather than executable quotes.
The listed market end date for both contracts is November 8, 2026 at 09:00 UTC [1]. The provider's event record says its listed end time was "not supplied," so the contract rules, which say the market closes after a winner is declared, are the more reliable guide to timing. The market end date is a close-time field, not a match date.
What remains uncertain
Both markets are included (2 of 2 in the saved event), and the sample is not marked partial [1]. However, the sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For a head-to-head match, the two named players are the outcomes shown, but the evidence does not confirm the match will be played, and it contains no information about injuries, schedule changes, or the reasons prices are where they are. No other platform's prices are included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Volume and trader counts are not supplied, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
References
- Kalshi: Rodionov vs Basilashvili. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T15:00:06.814Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract concerns a men's professional tennis match between Jurij Rodionov and Nikoloz Basilashvili, listed as part of the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 [1]. The contract is a yes or no market on the winner. The Kalshi rules state that if X wins the match after a ball has been played, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The market titles in the saved record are "Nikoloz Basilashvili wins" and "Jurij Rodionov wins," each with Yes and No outcomes [1]. The rules define when the market is settled. A ball must be played for the match to count. If the match does not occur before it starts, because of a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or another cancellation, the rules say the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1]. The market closes and expires once a winner is declared [1]. The tournament itself is described in a Wikipedia article as the 2026 Erste Bank Open, a men's tournament on indoor hard courts at the Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna, Austria [2]. That article describes the event as one that "will be played" from 26 October until 1 November 2026, and it is the 52nd edition of the event and part of the ATP 500 tournaments [2]. This is a scheduling description from a reference article retrieved for this snapshot, not a report that the match has been played or that any result has occurred. The saved market record lists an end date of 8 November 2026 [1]. A date in a market's record or rules is not an announced date for the match, and the contract's actual closing depends on the match result or any rescheduling under the rules described above [1].
Historical Context
The supplied reference article describes the 2026 Erste Bank Open as the 52nd edition of the men's indoor hard court event in Vienna, held at the Wiener Stadthalle and part of the ATP 500 tournaments [2]. No further historical background about the event or these players is available in the supplied sources.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific player wins a specific tennis match in the 2026 ATP Vienna Round Of 32 [1]. Its rules set the conditions for settlement: a winner must be determined after a ball has been played, and cancellations or postponements change how and when the market settles [1]. The prices shown in the market record are snapshots of contract prices at an observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should be read alongside the rules rather than as a forecast of the result. Because the record includes only the two outcomes for this match, the saved sample does not describe any wider field of possible results [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes the Yes outcome resolve?
According to the Kalshi rules, if the named player wins the match after a ball has been played, the market resolves to Yes [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled before it starts?
If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation before the match starts, the rules say the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved record lists an end date of 8 November 2026, but that date is a record field and not an announced match date [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
