GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

Name: Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
End: 2027-07-25T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$17.75K

Events

Markets

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Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner

Vol

$17.75K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $17.75K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.75K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	88%
Will Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	7%
Will Communist Party of Greece (KKE) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	1%
Will PASOK – Movement for Change (PASOK-KINAL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Democratic Patriotic Popular Movement "Niki" (NIKI) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Hope for Democracy (ELPIDA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance (SYRIZA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Greek Solution (EL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%
Will Course of Freedom (PE) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$17.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Parliamentary elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before July 25, 2027. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 25, 2027 (324 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Parliamentary elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before July 25, 2027.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Greek government by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Parliamentary elections to elect the Hellenic Parliament are scheduled to be held before July 25, 2027.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Hellenic Parliament as a result of the next Greek parliamentary election.

If voting in the specified"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $125.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will PASOK – Movement for Change (PASOK-KINAL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $612
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance (SYRIZA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Communist Party of Greece (KKE) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $627
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Greek Solution (EL) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $792
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Democratic Patriotic Popular Movement "Niki" (NIKI) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $604
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Course of Freedom (PE) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $661
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Hope for Democracy (ELPIDA) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $642
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 25, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.2% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics