BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract, "BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the source says the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T14:45:00.000Z, and the provider status is "active" [1]. The end time is the listed close, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show how or when the market resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z, and the record was retrieved at 12:21:11.609Z [1]. These are past snapshot times, not live prices. The saved prices were "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. Read as snapshot prices, they imply a slight tilt toward "Up" at that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is limited to this one market. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The evidence therefore contains both outcomes of this contract, and no other contract in this event. The provider notes that its listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary contract with both outcomes shown, there is no omitted outcome to compare.
Volume is not included in the supplied evidence, so no statement about liquidity or trader participation can be made.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It also does not show any price movement after the 12:00 UTC observation. The title's window and the listed end time both refer to the same contract period, but the evidence does not show the BNB price at the start of that range, the TWAP during it, or the final outcome. Because the contract resolves against a specific Chainlink data stream, readers should not treat this snapshot as a forecast of the BNB spot price or as a comparison with other platforms' BNB contracts, which may use different wording, windows, or close times.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract titled "BNB Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET". The contract is listed on Polymarket and asks whether the price of BNB will be higher or lower over a 15-minute window [1]. Under its rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price measured is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, not spot prices from exchanges or other sources. The rules state that the contract concerns only the Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore look at that specific data feed to understand how the outcome is determined. The contract's listed end time is 2026-11-02T14:45:00Z [1]. That date appears in the contract rules as the close of the window and is not a separate announced event. The provider record also shows the market status as active at the time it was saved [1]. The saved status describes that snapshot only and does not show how the market stands today.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over a specific 15-minute window finishes at or above its starting level [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single price at the end, the outcome depends on the price path during the window as well as the endpoints. Traders and readers can use the contract's stated resolution source to check how the question will be settled, and the resolution rules are the only authority on that point [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome require?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does the "Down" outcome require?
The contract resolves to "Down" when the time-weighted average price over the range is not greater than or equal to the starting price, according to the stated rules [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules say the contract is about that data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract window end?
The listed end time in the contract record is 2026-11-02T14:45:00Z [1]. The title describes the window as 9:30AM to 9:45AM Eastern Time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.