BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
PM $0
1
1
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET" [1]. According to the supplied rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-29T15:30:00.000Z [1]. The contract is a five-minute window, so the outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP over that window rather than on a spot price at a single moment.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation time is 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-29T01:39:57.825Z [1]. These are different timestamps, and neither is a live quote. The prices below describe the saved snapshot only and should not be read as current when this text is viewed.
At the observation time, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record lists the status as active [1]. No volume, order book depth, or trader count is included in the supplied evidence, so this snapshot cannot tell a reader how deep the market was or how many participants were involved.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and the coverage record shows it is complete for that event, with no partial sample [1]. Because only the "Up" and "Down" outcomes are present, no other outcome can be compared with them.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and this text does not offer a reason. It also does not show what the BNB price was at the start of the window or how the TWAP will compare with it, so the result is not known from the evidence.
Readers comparing this contract with markets on other platforms should check wording carefully. A contract on a different platform may use a different price source, window, or end time, so differing prices may reflect different rules rather than a real mismatch. No cross-platform comparison is supported by this snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window crypto market on the price of BNB against the US dollar, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET." It is listed on Polymarket under the Crypto category [1]. The question is not whether BNB's price is higher at the end of the window than it is now. It is whether a time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the window meets or exceeds the price at the window's start [1]. The rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of BNB, generated by Chainlink, across the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because an average over five minutes can differ from the price at any single moment, a short-term move that reverses before the window closes may not produce the same result as the spot price at the end. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, not spot exchange prices or other data providers. The rules say explicitly that other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should therefore check the Chainlink stream named in the rules rather than a general price feed. The saved event lists an end time of 2026-10-29T15:30:00.000Z, which the title's 11:30 AM ET closing time corresponds to [1]. Retrieval of the listing happened before that time, so the contract's outcome is not recorded in the supplied material.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over a five-minute window, judged by a Chainlink TWAP rather than a single trade or spot quote [1]. Because the comparison is between the window average and the starting price, the contract is sensitive to how the price moves within the window, not only where it ends. The listing's price for each outcome is a snapshot of market prices at one observation time. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability of an Up or Down result [1]. The market here is a single binary contract, and the saved event includes that one market in full.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this market resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What makes this market resolve to Down?
It resolves to Down if the TWAP over the window is not greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window, meaning the rules's Up condition is not met [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that other sources and spot markets are not used [1].
Does the listed price mean the chance of Up is known?
No. The listed prices are snapshots at one observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
PM $14.18
BNB Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
PM $0
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.