NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion | PredictPedia

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40 markets tracked

Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

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Single-Platform Markets(40)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	28%
Will Austin Hill be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	16%
Will Jesse Love be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	12%
Will Brent Crews be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	7%
Will Corey Day be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	7%
Will Sheldon Creed be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	6%
Will Taylor Gray be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	5%
Will Carson Kvapil be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	4%
Will William Sawalich be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	4%
Will Parker Retzlaff be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ryan Sieg be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Rajah Caruth be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Harrison Burton be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Dawson Cram be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Cody Ware be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Chad Finchum be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	3%
Will Ryan Ellis be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Patrick Staropoli be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jeremy Clements be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Dean Thompson be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Brandon Jones be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sammy Smith be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sam Mayer be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Brennan Poole be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Blaine Perkins be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Austin Green be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Anthony Alfredo be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ross Chastain be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Nicholas Sanchez be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Nick Leitz be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Mason Maggio be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Lavar Scott be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Luke Fenhaus be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Kyle Sieg be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Josh Williams be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Joey Gase be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Jeb Burton be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Josh Bilicki be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Garrett Smithley be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%
Will Giovanni Ruggiero be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?	Kalshi	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, April 19, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** NASCAR Auto Parts Series

If X wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Brent Crews wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brent Crews be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will William Sawalich be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Taylor Gray be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sammy Smith be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sam Mayer be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sheldon Creed be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ryan Sieg be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ryan Ellis be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ross Chastain be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Rajah Caruth be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Patrick Staropoli be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Parker Retzlaff be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Nicholas Sanchez be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Nick Leitz be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Mason Maggio be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Lavar Scott be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Luke Fenhaus be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Kyle Sieg be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Josh Williams be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jesse Love be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Joey Gase be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Jeremy Clements be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jeb Burton be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Josh Bilicki be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Harrison Burton be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Garrett Smithley be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Giovanni Ruggiero be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Dean Thompson be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Dawson Cram be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Cody Ware be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Carson Kvapil be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Chad Finchum be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Corey Day be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Brennan Poole be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Blaine Perkins be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Brandon Jones be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Austin Hill be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Austin Green be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Anthony Alfredo be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 23, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Q7gLFt" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion"></iframe>

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NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion

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Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

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Events (1)

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion

Markets (40)

Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Austin Hill be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Austin Hill be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Jesse Love be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Jesse Love be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Brent Crews be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Brent Crews be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Corey Day be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Corey Day be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion

Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Justin Allgaier be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Austin Hill be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Austin Hill be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Jesse Love be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Jesse Love be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Brent Crews be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Brent Crews be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Corey Day be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

Will Corey Day be the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion?

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