Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Hyperliquid price over a five-minute window, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the window is "greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range," and otherwise to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The rules therefore differ from a general question about where the price is trading. The outcome depends on an averaged price compared with the starting price, not on the price at a single moment. A reader comparing this contract with a similar market on another platform should check whether that market uses the same data stream, averaging method, and window.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These figures were observed at 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z, while the source was retrieved at 2026-10-30T00:53:45.865Z [1]. The observation is therefore about six and a half hours older than the retrieval, and neither timestamp shows the price at the time you read this summary.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two outcomes sum to 1.00 in this record, and the gap between them is 0.01. That gap should not be read as a forecast of direction or as a claim about how many traders hold each view. The record does not include volume or liquidity data, so it says nothing about how easily a position could be entered or exited.
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T17:20:00.000Z [1]. The title gives the window in Eastern Time, so you should confirm that the UTC end time matches the 1:20PM ET close before relying on it.
What remains uncertain
The coverage is limited. The saved event contains one market, and the record marks the sample as complete for that event [1]. This does not show that the provider lists every possible outcome for this window, and no other platform or contract is included here, so no cross-platform comparison is possible from this evidence.
The record also does not show a resolution. The provider status and market status were both listed as active in the saved record, but nothing here confirms the status or outcome after retrieval [1]. The evidence does not explain any movement in the quoted prices.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-interval price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM to 1:20PM ET" [1]. It is a binary market with two outcomes, Up and Down. The contract states that it resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract is explicit that it concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD asset pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. This means the outcome depends on the Chainlink feed's calculation rather than on a price quoted on any particular exchange. The listed end time for the market is 2026-10-30T17:20:00Z [1], which corresponds to 1:20 PM ET on October 30. The listed end time is the contract's scheduled close, not a confirmed resolution, and the market's status should be read from the dated status section rather than from this description.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the HYPE/USD price over a five-minute window, as defined by the Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the comparison is between the time-weighted average over the window and the price at the window's start, the contract tracks whether the averaged price finishes at or above its starting level, rather than the price at a single instant [1]. Readers can use the contract to see how the market prices that specific question, while keeping in mind that the listed prices are snapshots and not executable quotes.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract count as an Up resolution?
The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink TWAP of Hyperliquid over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract states that prices from other sources or spot markets do not determine the result [1].
Does a price on this market equal the chance of an Up outcome?
Market prices are shown as snapshots and do not establish a verified probability. The contract's outcome depends only on the Chainlink TWAP rule described in the contract [1].
When does the market close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T17:20:00Z [1]. This is the scheduled end time in the contract listing and does not by itself confirm when or how the market resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.