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Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

2nd largest company end of May?

Name: 2nd largest company end of May?
End: 2026-05-31T06:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.58K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2nd largest company end of May?

Vol

$26.58K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.58K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.58K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	67%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	20%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	10%
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	1%
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	0%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	0%
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	0%
Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$26.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2nd largest company end of May?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $28.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.92)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance