Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Total Volume

$44.54K

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How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Vol

$44.54K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $44.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $44.54K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?	Kalshi	87%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$44.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Q4 2026 If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q4 2026

If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least 60, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $44.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $7.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $10.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Volume$44.54K

Markets4

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KALSHI

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least 50, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks,

KALSHI

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least 55, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks,

KALSHI

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHICulture

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least 45, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks,

KALSHI

Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHICulture

Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

If the number of wide film releases on the Domestic Release Schedule by Box Office Mojo in Q4 2026 is at least 60, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Box Office Mojo. All trademarks,

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93¢

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How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

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Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Markets (4)

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

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Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 50 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 55 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 45 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

Will there be at least 60 wide film releases in Q4 2026?

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