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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Name: Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner
End: 2026-05-10T20:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$126.76K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Vol

$126.76K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $126.76K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $126.76K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	20%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	17%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	16%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	16%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	15%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	8%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	4%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	1%
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

20%

Top Probability

$126.76K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any appl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any appl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $130.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.89)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $12.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $10.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $29.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 10, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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