Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a single binary contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET" [1]. The rules say it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].

The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-27T07:20:00.000Z [1]. The title's window is written in ET, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should check how the two correspond rather than assume they match.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed this market at 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T10:40:17.889Z [1]. These timestamps describe when the record was captured, not current conditions when you read this. The status was recorded as active at the time of the snapshot [1].

At that snapshot, the Up price was 0.505 and the Down price was 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved figures differ by 0.010. The evidence contains no volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show market depth or how many participants hold either side.

The sample covers all one market saved for this event, and no partial sample is flagged [1]. With only one contract, there is no other outcome to compare, and no cross-platform comparison can be drawn from this evidence.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the contract has since closed, traded further, or resolved, and it does not explain the near-even pricing. The sample warning confirms only that these saved markets are included. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Check the provider page for the current status and final resolution before relying on this record.

References

1. Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.