Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score
PM $0
1
37
Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score
PM $0
1
37
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
37
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between Holstein Kiel and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event covers the exact score of Holstein Kiel against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, a match the excerpt describes as an upcoming DFB-Pokal game [1]. The excerpt says the market resolves on the score "at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time," and that "extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded" [1]. Any score not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." [1]
The rules also cover disruption. If the match is postponed, the market "will remain open until it is completed," and if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves to "0-0." [1] The excerpt names the official statistics as the primary resolution source, with Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting as fallbacks, and a 50-50 or "Draw" resolution if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours. [1]
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z, which is the scheduled kickoff time and not a confirmed result date. [1]
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 04:31:36Z, so they describe that earlier provider observation and are not live quotes [1]. The sample includes 12 of 37 markets from this one event, so it is a partial view of the exact-score field [1]. Included markets were selected by Yes price, so this sample should not be read as the full set of outcomes.
Within the sample, "Any Other Score?" shows a Yes price of 0.38, and the listed exact-score outcomes show Yes prices of 0.375 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the small gap between 0.38 and 0.375 does not, on its own, establish a meaningful difference. The excerpt does not explain why any price is where it is.
Because all markets come from one provider event, no cross-platform comparison is possible here. Differences in wording between contracts, such as "Any Other Score" versus a specific scoreline, reflect different outcomes, so their prices should not be averaged or treated as an arbitrage signal.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot say how deep these markets are. It also does not report the current status of the match, any postponement, or any recent news. The 24-hour fallback and the rule for revisions after resolution are stated in the excerpt, but how they would apply would depend on events not in the evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This is an exact score market tied to a DFB-Pokal match between Holstein Kiel and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, listed on Polymarket [1]. The event page describes the match as scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:45:00.000Z [1]. Each contract asks whether the match will finish with a particular final score, and the event contains 37 markets in total [1]. The contract settles on the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If the final score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, data from Flashscore may be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data may be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1]. The rules also cover disruptions. If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1]. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining the outcome [1]. The saved price snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:31:36.687Z. In that snapshot, the "Any Other Score" Yes contract was priced at 0.38 and the 0-0 Yes contract at 0.375 [1]. Several other listed score contracts, including 1-4, 2-5 and 5-5, were priced at 0.375 in the same snapshot [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a price difference between contracts does not by itself identify an opportunity.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the final score of one scheduled match, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded, a match that goes to those stages is still settled on the regulation result under these rules [1]. The rules also specify how the outcome is determined if the match is postponed, canceled, or lacks reliable statistics, so the contract's terms matter as much as the match itself [1]. The partial sample covers 12 of the 37 markets in this saved event, so the prices shown here should be read as a limited view of the full event [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Any Other Score" contract cover?
It resolves to "Any Other Score" if the actual final score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes in the event [1].
Are extra time and penalties counted?
No. The market considers only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
The market remains open until the match is completed [1].
What happens if the match is canceled?
If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0" [1].
Which data source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, Flashscore may be used, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].
What if no reliable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
