Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This market is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET" [1]. Its rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T06:20:00.000Z [1]. The title's time window is expressed in Eastern Time, so readers should compare the UTC end time and the ET window carefully rather than assume they match without checking.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z and retrieved at 2026-10-30T12:42:53.882Z [1]. These are two different times, and the observation is the price reading. Both are earlier than the listed end time, but the evidence does not show the market's current status or any price after the observation.
At observation, the saved prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They are also not a measure of how many traders hold each view. The evidence includes no volume figure, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling [1]. It is not a cross-platform comparison, and no other platform's contract is included. Because only this event is saved, the prices should not be compared with any differently worded or differently timed contract.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it contains no news, trading activity, or market commentary. It also does not show whether the price has changed since observation. The rules describe how resolution is determined, but they do not show the outcome, because the listed end time falls after the snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over one specific five-minute window will finish at or above where that window started. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-31T06:20:00.000Z, and the provider lists its status as active [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rule ties the outcome to a price measure rather than to the last trade or to a spot price on any exchange. The provider states that the market concerns the price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. Anyone reading the outcome should therefore look to that stream, not to prices elsewhere, when considering how the contract settles. In the saved snapshot observed at 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z, the Up outcome was priced at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices at that time, not current prices, and they are not an executable quote for buying or selling either side.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD in the Chainlink data stream, over a five-minute window, is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the rule uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, the result depends on the path of the price during the window as recorded by that data stream. Readers interested in this contract should focus on the exact rule, the named data source, and the listed end time, since those define how the contract settles [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
Up resolves if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does the Down outcome require?
Down applies when the time-weighted average price over the range is not greater than or equal to the starting price, according to the rule that says the market resolves to Down otherwise [1].
Which data is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the provider says the market does not follow other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time in the saved provider record is 2026-10-31T06:20:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.