Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)

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Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)

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9 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.3%

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.3%	Kalshi	59.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.0%	Kalshi	47.0%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.7%	Kalshi	47.0%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%	Kalshi	46.0%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 7.0%	Kalshi	43.5%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%	Kalshi	42.0%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 13.9%	Kalshi	42.0%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 12.0%	Kalshi	41.0%
Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.6%	Kalshi	31.0%

Rules & Resolution

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Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 22, 2026 If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 9.3%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T9P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 42.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 9.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 8.5%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T8P5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 7.0%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T7P0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 43.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 56.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 5.0%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T5P0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 4.3%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T4P3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 59.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 4.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.6%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T16P6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 31.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 16.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 13.9%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T13P9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 42.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 13.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 12.0%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T12P0; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 12.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Contract: Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 10.7%
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOONVSPEND-22OCT26-T10P7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoonvspend-22oct26
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 30, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 22, 2026 is above 10.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 22, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIScience and Technology