Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event, "Pro Football: Marvin Harrison Jr. 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards," contains five Polymarket yes/no contracts [1]. Each asks whether Marvin Harrison Jr. will record at least a listed number of receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The listed thresholds are 424.5, 624.5, 824.5, 1,024.5, and 1,224.5 yards [1].

The rules affect how each contract should be read. A "Yes" outcome requires the listed number to be met or exceeded. If Harrison does not play for any reason, the contract resolves "No" [1]. If the season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the yardage cannot be determined, the contract resolves "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is official NFL information, though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

The market rows list an end date of 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z, while the event record lists an end time of 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. These are different fields in the saved data, and this summary does not establish which one governs settlement.

Reading the snapshot

The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:21:23.088Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not current quotes. Using the Yes price as the shown snapshot value, the 424.5-yard contract is at 0.49, the 624.5-yard contract at 0.125, the 824.5-yard contract at 0.185, the 1,024.5-yard contract at 0.115, and the 1,224.5-yard contract at 0.13 [1].

These figures are not verified probabilities and cannot be treated as executable prices. The saved data does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so no inference about depth or consensus is possible. The rows are also not ordered by threshold. The provider ranked them by Yes price, so the list order does not reflect yardage. The contracts should not be averaged or combined into one estimate, because each asks a different question. Differences between the 0.49 and 0.125 prices reflect different thresholds, not a ranking of outcomes to be arbitraged.

What remains uncertain

The saved sample includes all five markets from this one event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The source also warns that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The saved data also does not explain why prices are where they are.

Whether a contract resolves as "Yes," "No," or "50-50" depends on future season events and on the rules above. This snapshot does not describe the results of the season or any current news about the player.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Marvin Harrison Jr. 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.