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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Name: LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
End: 2026-05-05T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$400.18

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Vol

$400.18

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $400.18

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $400.18

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner	Poly	71%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	66%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	66%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	66%
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 Winner	Poly	64%
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	Poly	64%
Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5)	Poly	59%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	43%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	22%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	22%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	21%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	21%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	20%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	20%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	8%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$400.18

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Estral Esports and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against INTZ e-Sports. This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win the match against Estral Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled dat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Estral Esports and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against INTZ e-Sports.

This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win the match against Estral Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled dat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Estral Esports and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 4:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win Game 1 against INTZ e-Sports.

This market wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $400
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $367
  DATA: [Estral Esports: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [INTZ e-Sports: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Estral Esports: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [INTZ e-Sports: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Estral Esports: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [INTZ e-Sports: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs INTZ e-Sports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Estral Esports: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [INTZ e-Sports: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Volume$400.18

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

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43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/R_SM8Q" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs"></iframe>

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LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

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LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Markets (23)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner

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LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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