Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T10:20:00.000Z [1]. The title expresses the window in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should compare the two carefully rather than assume they match. The listed end time describes when the contract closes, not when it has resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T12:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T14:16:44Z [1]. It is a record of that earlier observation, not a live view. At that observation, the provider status was active [1].
The saved prices were "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome. The gap between the two prices is small, so the snapshot shows a near-even split between the two outcomes at that moment. The evidence does not explain why prices stood where they did.
The sample covers one market for this event. Coverage lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a binary contract with only these two outcomes in the saved record, no other outcome is omitted from the comparison. The selection method ranks markets by price and then volume, but with a single market that ranking has no effect here. The evidence includes no volume figures, so it says nothing about liquidity or trader activity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include a resolution result, so the outcome of this window is unknown. The snapshot predates the retrieval time by about two hours and does not show current prices. No other platform's contract for this window appears in the supplied evidence, so there is no basis for comparing wording or prices across platforms. Any price difference between similar contracts elsewhere would not by itself indicate an opportunity, because wording, resolution sources, and closing times can differ.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Solana, listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether the price of Solana in U.S. dollars, measured over a five-minute window, ends up at or above where it started. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price. The reference comparison is the price at the start of the window, so the contract depends on how the average over the full window compares with that opening level [1]. The rules name the resolution source as the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second configuration, and they say the market concerns that specific data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. The provider lists the event with an end time of 2026-10-27T10:20:00.000Z [1]. That is the scheduled close of the contract, not a record that the contract has settled. The source excerpt does not establish a final result, so this article does not state one. Price information elsewhere on this page is a dated snapshot and should not be read as a live quote.
Why It Matters
The contract isolates a very short movement in one asset and ties the outcome to a specific, named data feed. Because the rules specify Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP stream [1], a reader needs to know that the result follows that feed's averaged values rather than the price on any one exchange. The comparison is between the average over the window and the price at the window's start, so a brief spike or dip inside the window affects the result only through its effect on the average [1]. Traders and readers who look at this contract are therefore looking at a rule-defined question about a particular data stream, which differs from a general question about where Solana trades.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract measure?
It measures whether the time-weighted average price of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The stated resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about that data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the outcome depend on the Solana price on exchanges?
No. According to the rules, only the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream is used, not other sources or spot markets [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-27T10:20:00.000Z [1]. This is the listed close of the contract and does not by itself show how it resolved.
Do the prices on this contract show the true chance of an Up result?
Prices on a prediction market are snapshots at a point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.