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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season

Name: Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season
End: 2026-05-02T17:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$73.57

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season

Vol

$73.57

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $73.57

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $73.57

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season	Poly	78%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH - Game 1 Winner	Poly	69%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH - Game 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: AR (-1.5) vs Twisted Minds PH (+1.5)	Poly	49%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	43%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$73.57

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Aurora Gaming PH and Twisted Minds PH in the MPL Philippines Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 2 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming PH" if Aurora Gaming PH win the match against Twisted Minds PH. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds PH" if Twisted Minds PH win the match against Aurora Gaming PH. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Aurora Gaming PH and Twisted Minds PH in the MPL Philippines Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 2 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming PH" if Aurora Gaming PH win the match against Twisted Minds PH.

This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds PH" if Twisted Minds PH win the match against Aurora Gaming PH.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Aurora Gaming PH and Twisted Minds PH in the MPL Philippines Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 2 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming PH" if Aurora Gaming PH win the match against Twisted Minds PH.

This "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $74
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $74
  DATA: [Aurora Gaming PH: 77.5% (0.0%)] | [Twisted Minds PH: 22.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurora Gaming PH: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [Twisted Minds PH: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Aurora Gaming PH vs Twisted Minds PH - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurora Gaming PH: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Twisted Minds PH: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: AR (-1.5) vs Twisted Minds PH (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Aurora Gaming PH: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Twisted Minds PH: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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