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Events
GroupKALSHI

ERCOT West Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

ERCOT West Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)
Vol

K 35.69 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $0/MWh at 97.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Above $0/MWh97.5%
  2. Above $15/MWh96.5%
  3. Above $25/MWh90%
  4. Above $35/MWh53.5%
  5. Above $50/MWh14.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 35.69 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Week 45: Oct 30, 2026 - Nov 6, 2026 · All-hours real-time average ($/MWh) If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT West Hub is above X for the week ending November 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices, NP6-905-CD. Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: November 6, 2026 at 4:59 PM EST. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules. This market may expire early once the outcome can be determined under the full rules.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiCommodities
ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

ERCOT Houston Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

K 0 contracts
ERCOT Houston Hub average power price above $20/MWh, Week 45?Yes 95%
ERCOT Houston Hub average power price above $30/MWh, Week 45?Yes 71.5%
ERCOT Houston Hub average power price above $40/MWh, Week 45?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiCommodities
ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

K 0 contracts
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $20/MWh, Week 45?Yes 94%
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $30/MWh, Week 45?Yes 60.5%
ERCOT North Hub average power price above $40/MWh, Week 45?Yes 13.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiCommodities
PJM Western Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

PJM Western Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

K 4.92 contracts
PJM Western Hub average power price above $30/MWh, Week 45?Yes 89%
PJM Western Hub average power price above $40/MWh, Week 45?Yes 71%
PJM Western Hub average power price above $50/MWh, Week 45?Yes 24.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
MISO Indiana Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

MISO Indiana Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

K 0 contracts
MISO Indiana Hub average power price above $20/MWh, Week 45?Yes 97.5%
MISO Indiana Hub average power price above $30/MWh, Week 45?Yes 90%
MISO Indiana Hub average power price above $40/MWh, Week 45?Yes 35.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiCommodities
PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

K 0 contracts
PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average power price above $25/MWh, Week 45?Yes 89%
PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average power price above $35/MWh, Week 45?Yes 80%
PJM AEP-Dayton Hub average power price above $45/MWh, Week 45?Yes 32.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiCommodities
PJM Dominion Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

PJM Dominion Hub average real-time power price (Week 45)

K 0 contracts
PJM Dominion Hub average power price above $25/MWh, Week 45?Yes 89.5%
PJM Dominion Hub average power price above $35/MWh, Week 45?Yes 87%
PJM Dominion Hub average power price above $45/MWh, Week 45?Yes 52.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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