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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 12am EDT?

ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 12am EDT?
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

300

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is $2,185 or above at 99.5%.

Kalshi

  1. $2,185 or above99.5%
  2. $2,040 or above99.5%
  3. $2,035 or above99.5%
  4. $2,030 or above99.5%
  5. $2,025 or above99.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

300

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 31, 2026 at 12am EDT If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index, ERTI, before 12 AM EDT is above X at 12 AM EDT on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index, RTI. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This Kalshi event asks whether the simple average of the last sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 12 AM EDT on October 31, 2026 is above a threshold X at 12 AM EDT [1]. The source states that the official value is the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration [1]. The rules also say that other ETH price sources, such as Google or Coinbase, are not the basis for resolution [1].

The included market titles use different wording. Each title reads "$X or above," while the rules use "above X" [1]. The threshold in each title is the figure to compare, and the rules control how the price is measured.

Timing has several separate parts. The provider observed the snapshot at 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T06:41:40.350Z [1]. The contract measurement time is 12 AM EDT, and the market records show an endDate of 2026-11-07T04:00:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt separately says the listed end time is "not supplied," so the endDate field should be checked against the provider before it is relied on for timing. Neither field shows an actual resolution outcome.

Reading the snapshot

The sample includes 12 of 300 markets in this event, so it is partial [1]. Within this sample, every included market shows a Yes price of 0.995 and a No price of 0.005 [1]. The included thresholds run from $1,990 to $2,185 [1].

These prices are snapshots from the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because all included markets show the same prices, the sample does not show how prices differ across thresholds. The sample also does not show what the 288 omitted markets are priced at, and omitted markets should not be assumed to be lower or higher. The selection method ranks by Yes price and then by volume, but the sample does not provide volume figures, so this comparison cannot be used to infer liquidity or trader activity [1].

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include the ETH price at the time of this retrieval, the ERTI values in the measurement window, or any reason for the observed prices. It also does not establish how many participants hold each position. Because the snapshot is from October 31, 2026, at 03:00 UTC, it describes conditions at that observation time only. Readers should check the provider page for current prices and the official listed close time before drawing conclusions.

References

  1. Kalshi: ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 12am EDT?. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Overview

This contract is a Kalshi event titled "ETH price on Oct 31, 2026 at 12am EDT?" in the crypto category [1]. It asks whether the price of Ethereum, measured by a specific index, will be above a stated threshold X at 12 AM EDT on October 31, 2026 [1]. Under the rules, the measurement is the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 12 AM EDT. If that average is above X at 12 AM EDT, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules specify which price counts. They state that "Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same" and that the price used is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI) rather than a single exchange or general price website [1]. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected, and the official final value is their average [1]. A trader therefore needs to understand how the index is calculated, not only what a consumer price page shows. The event record also reports that its provider status is active [1]. That status describes the listing in the saved data, not the current state of the market.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a single benchmark value for Ethereum at one moment defined by the rules: the average of 60 RTI prices gathered in the final minute before 12 AM EDT [1]. Because the outcome depends on an averaged index value compared with a threshold, the contract is narrower than a general question about where the Ethereum price is heading. Each listed threshold is a separate yes or no question about the same measured value [1]. Several timestamps need to be kept apart. The saved market data was observed at 03:00:05 UTC on October 31, 2026, and the source record was retrieved at 06:41:40 UTC the same day [1]. Neither is the contract's closing or resolution time. The measurement point named in the rules is 12 AM EDT on October 31, 2026 [1]. The market record lists an end date of November 7, 2026 at 04:00 UTC, but the event record does not supply an end time [1]. That listed date should not be read as the moment the price is measured or as a confirmed resolution date.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Which price determines whether this contract resolves Yes?

The rules use CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index, ERTI, and specifically the average of the sixty seconds of that index before 12 AM EDT on October 31, 2026 [1]. The rules say the price is based on the corresponding Real Time Index rather than other price sources [1].

Can I check a general price website instead?

The rules say that checking a source such as Google or Coinbase may help guide a decision, but the price used to determine the market is the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index [1]. Because of that, a general website price may differ from the figure that settles the contract [1].

What do the Yes prices in the sample show?

In the saved sample, every included threshold from $1,990 to $2,185 or above shows a Yes price of 0.995 and a No price of 0.005 [1]. These are provider snapshots taken at one observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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