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New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

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New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

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Polymarket

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0.0%avg

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4 markets tracked

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	43%
Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	38%
Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	32%
New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	31%

AI Analysis

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43%

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$0.00

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About This Event

NYY vs WSH (Jul 10) If Washington wins by more than X runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** NYY vs WSH (Jul 10)

If Washington wins by more than X runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two days. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Washington wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and clo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

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KALSHI

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

If New York Y wins by more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and clo

KALSHI

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

If Washington wins by more than 1.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and clo

KALSHI

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 31.5¢No 68.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

If Washington wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and clo

KALSHI

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

If New York Y wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and clo

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/RmSmw6" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread"></iframe>

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New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

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New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

Markets (4)

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

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New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

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New York Y vs Washington: First 5 Spread

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

Washington wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

New York Y wins first 5 innings by over 2.5 runs?

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