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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Name: Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$4.71K

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Markets

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Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Vol

$4.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	86%
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	5%
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Meituan have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	1%
Will ByteDance have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Meta have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Baidu have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Amazon have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$4.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column unde"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.48)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $837
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will ByteDance have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $249
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $266
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $248
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $265
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $288
  DATA: [Yes: 1.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meta have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Baidu have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $245
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Amazon have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Mistral have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $422
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Meituan have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $230
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech