Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

Name: NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader
End: 2026-12-06T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$939.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

Vol

$939.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $939.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $939.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	50%
Will Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	49%
Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	49%
Will Cutter Boley be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	48%
Will JC French IV be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	47%
Will Alonza Barnett III be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	47%
Will Conner Weigman be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	46%
Will Jaylen Raynor be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	46%
Will DJ Lagway be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	46%
Will Michael Hawkins Jr. be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	46%
Will Avery Johnson be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%
Will Scotty Fox Jr. be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%
Will Will Hammond be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%
Will Noah Fifita be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%
Will Cole Ballard be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%
Will Jaden Craig be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%
Will Julian Lewis be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?	Poly	45%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$939.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in fav

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 6, 2026 (57 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in fav

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $939
* **Total Liquidity:** $89
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.56)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will JC French IV be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Conner Weigman be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alonza Barnett III be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Drew Mestemaker be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Will Hammond be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jaylen Raynor be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Noah Fifita be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Avery Johnson be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bear Bachmeier be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Cole Ballard be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Cutter Boley be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Devon Dampier be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will DJ Lagway be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jaden Craig be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Julian Lewis be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Michael Hawkins Jr. be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $53
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Scotty Fox Jr. be the 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 6, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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