Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D
PM $767.4
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2
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D
PM $767.4
1
2
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $767.4
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between ReThink and XI Esport in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for April 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "ReThink" if ReThink win the match against XI Esport. This market will resolve to "XI Esport" if XI Esport win the match against ReThink. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied rules cover a Counter-Strike match between ReThink and XI Esport in the United21 Group D. The market resolves to "ReThink" if ReThink wins the match and to "XI Esport" if XI Esport wins [1]. The contract text also sets 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, and some forfeits, and it names hltv.org as the resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final results are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].
The three markets in this snapshot are different from the match-winner contract. Each asks "Odd/Even Total Kills?" for one map: Map 1, Map 2, and Map 3 [1]. Their wording and outcomes ("Odd" and "Even") differ from the team-name rules, so they should not be read as the same question.
The listed end time for all three is 2026-04-30T03:59:00.000Z, and the event excerpt says the match was "initially scheduled for April 22 at 6:30AM ET" [1]. This is a date in the contract rules, not evidence of when the match was played or resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:02:32.401Z [1]. These are times for this saved record only. The evidence does not show a current price, and it does not show whether the markets are still trading.
Each map market shows Odd at 0.5 and Even at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence contains no volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
Coverage is complete for this saved event: 3 of 3 markets were included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The ordering rule ranks markets by first reported outcome price and then volume [1]. Because all three prices are equal, the ordering gives no further information here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was canceled or delayed, or how the contract resolved. It also does not show whether the listed end time has passed in the provider's system today. The source excerpt says the provider status is "active" [1], but that status describes the saved record and does not confirm live trading.
The sample covers only these three map-level markets. The sample warning states that the providers may not list every possible outcome [1], so no conclusion about other markets should be drawn. The match-winner prices are not in this evidence, so the map prices cannot be combined with them or compared against other platforms.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: ReThink vs XI Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract on a Counter-Strike match between ReThink and XI Esport, a best-of-three (BO3) series in United21 Group D. The provider describes the market as referring to that match, which was [1] "initially scheduled for April 22 at 6:30AM ET." The main market resolves to the team that wins the match [1]. The rules set out several outcomes beyond a straightforward win. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days past its scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one team wins because the opponent forfeits, is disqualified, or takes a walkover, the market resolves to the team that wins [1]. If a team withdraws before the start and the other team wins automatically, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules also allow flexible team naming. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate spellings, sponsor tags, academy designations, and regional identifiers are treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly identified within the competition. If a name cannot be unambiguously matched, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The provider lists three companion markets for this event. Each asks whether the total number of kills on Map 1, Map 2, or Map 3 will be odd or even, with outcomes named Odd and Even [1]. In the saved snapshot, each of these three markets showed a price of 0.5 for both outcomes [1].
Why It Matters
The main contract measures which team wins this specific match, using hltv.org as the official resolution source for final results [1]. If that site has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, to be used instead [1]. The three map markets measure a different property: whether the total kills in each individual map is odd or even [1]. Because these map markets are separate contracts, their outcomes do not depend on who wins the series. The contract dates in the rules, including the listed end time of April 30, 2026, are settlement and cutoff parameters. They are not evidence of when the match was actually played or when the market will close in practice. The snapshot prices shown here are observations from a single point in time, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether the main market resolves to ReThink or XI Esport?
The market resolves to the team that wins the match between them [1]. Where a match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, the rules specify a 50-50 resolution instead [1].
What happens if one team forfeits?
If the match begins and one team wins because the opponent forfeits, is disqualified, or takes a walkover, the market resolves to the winning team [1]. If a team withdraws before the match starts and the other team wins automatically, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What source is used to settle the market?
The stated resolution source is official information from hltv.org [1]. If hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used, including video evidence [1].
What do the Odd and Even map markets measure?
Each map market asks whether the total number of kills on that specific map will be odd or even, with separate markets for Map 1, Map 2, and Map 3 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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