HYPE Up or Down - October 17, 6AM ET
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HYPE Up or Down - October 17, 6AM ET
PM $0
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "HYPE Up or Down - October 17, 6AM ET" [1]. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance's HYPE/USDT pair, and the rules state that "this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z [1]. The title uses ET, while the listed end time is in UTC. The excerpt does not restate that conversion, so readers should confirm the candle timing against the full rules before relying on it. Because the rules tie resolution to a specific candle, a contract with different wording or a different listed close would not be directly comparable.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:41:28.831Z [1]. It shows the provider status as active at observation time [1]. These times describe the saved record only. They do not show the market's status today, and the snapshot should not be read as a live quote.
The saved prices are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not include volume or order book depth, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders hold each side. It also gives no explanation for the prices.
The sample is complete for this event. Coverage lists one market, all included, with no partial sample [1]. This is a single binary contract, so no outcomes were omitted from the saved event. The sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for other events, and nothing here compares this contract with other platforms or other HYPE contracts.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the market's price after the observation time, the final candle values, or the resolved outcome. The excerpt also does not include any independent comparison with other exchanges, which the rules specifically exclude as a basis for resolution [1]. Readers should check the provider page and the Binance candle directly for current status and the final result.
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 17, 6AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a one-hour directional market on the HYPE/USDT pair. According to the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. For this event, the title refers to the candle starting at 6AM ET on October 17, and the listed end time is 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z [1]. Because the rule uses greater than or equal to, a candle that closes exactly at its opening price would resolve "Up" [1]. The contract does not measure HYPE's price across the market as a whole. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair on its futures page, and the rules state that the market concerns the price on Binance HYPE/USDT rather than other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. The open and close values shown at the top of the relevant 1H candle on that chart are the values used, once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. At the observation time captured for this event, the saved market showed two outcomes, Up and Down, and its provider status was listed as active [1]. The observed prices are a snapshot from that moment and should not be read as a current or executable quote.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether HYPE/USDT on Binance closes a specific one-hour candle at or above its opening price. It is a narrow question about direction within one candle, not a forecast of HYPE's longer-term value. Because the rules tie resolution to one exchange and one pair, the outcome depends on Binance's recorded open and close for that candle rather than on any aggregated market price [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The outcome is determined by comparing the close and open of the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title, using Binance data [1].
What happens if the close equals the open?
The rules say the market resolves "Up" when the close price is greater than or equal to the open price, so an equal result resolves "Up" [1].
Does the market use prices from other exchanges?
No. The provider states that the market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
When are the open and close values finalized?
The rules say the close and open shown for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
