Gavryshko Oleg vs. Mishchenko Oleksandr
PM $0
1
5
Gavryshko Oleg vs. Mishchenko Oleksandr
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Gavryshko Oleg and Mishchenko Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 10:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gavryshko Oleg' if Gavryshko Oleg wins against Mishchenko Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Mishchenko Oleksandr' if Mishchenko Oleksandr wins against Gavryshko Oleg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The primary market is a match winner contract for the table tennis match between Gavryshko Oleg and Mishchenko Oleksandr in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The rules state that the match is "scheduled for October 16 at 10:55AM ET" and that the market "will resolve to 'Gavryshko Oleg' if Gavryshko Oleg wins" or to "'Mishchenko Oleksandr' if Mishchenko Oleksandr wins" [1].
The rules also set several non-standard outcomes. A canceled match, a tie, or a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" resolves to 50-50. A walkover also resolves to 50-50. If a player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after the match has begun, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-23T14:55:00.000Z. This is a listed close time in the provider record, not a stated match time or a confirmed resolution date. The rules name official event statistics as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:17:48.057Z. These times describe when this record was captured, not the live state of the market now. The snapshot shows five active markets for this event [1].
The match winner prices are 0.69 for Gavryshko Oleg and 0.31 for Mishchenko Oleksandr [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this record, but that does not establish a tradable spread.
The two total games markets, Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5, both show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. The two game handicap markets are mirrored in wording. One is labeled Gavryshko Oleg (-1.5) versus Mishchenko Oleksandr (+1.5), and the other is labeled Mishchenko Oleksandr (-1.5) versus Gavryshko Oleg (+1.5). Each shows 0.5 for both sides [1]. These are separate contracts with different wording. Their prices do not establish an arbitrage opportunity, and they should not be averaged with the match winner prices.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all five saved markets for this one provider event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The sample warning still applies: it does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. Volume, number of traders, and liquidity are not in the evidence, so the snapshot cannot show how deep any market is.
No reason for the price levels is given in the evidence, and this analysis does not explain them. The evidence also does not report whether the match has been played, delayed, or resolved.
References
- Polymarket: Gavryshko Oleg vs. Mishchenko Oleksandr. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket contract covers one table tennis match between Gavryshko Oleg and Mishchenko Oleksandr in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The match is scheduled for October 16 at 10:55 AM ET, and the contract's listed end time is 14:55 UTC on October 23, 2026 [1]. The contract resolves to whichever player wins the match [1]. The saved market record includes five markets for this event: the match winner, two total games over/under markets at 3.5 and 4.5, and two game handicap markets at 1.5 [1]. The record was observed at 03:00 UTC on October 16, 2026, before the scheduled start. In that snapshot, the match winner market priced Gavryshko Oleg at 0.69 and Mishchenko Oleksandr at 0.31. The total games markets showed Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 for both lines, and the handicap markets were each priced at 0.5 [1]. These are provider snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. All five saved markets for this event are included in this record.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which player wins this specific match. The rules also set outcomes for unusual endings. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the contract resolves 50-50. A walkover before the start, where one player withdraws and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. Because the snapshot prices reflect the provider record at a single observed time, they show how the market was priced then, not how the match will end.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is canceled or not played?
The contract resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled before it is played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined [1].
What happens if one player withdraws before the match starts?
A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, resolves the contract 50-50 [1].
How is the winner confirmed?
The primary source is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
