Shchegelskyi Dmytro vs. Parahailo Yurii
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Shchegelskyi Dmytro vs. Parahailo Yurii
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Shchegelskyi Dmytro and Parahailo Yurii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 2 at 7:35AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shchegelskyi Dmytro' if Shchegelskyi Dmytro wins against Parahailo Yurii. This market will resolve to 'Parahailo Yurii' if Parahailo Yurii wins against Shchegelskyi Dmytro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event covers the table tennis match between Shchegelskyi Dmytro and Parahailo Yurii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, which the excerpt says was "scheduled for October 22 at 8:15PM ET" [1]. The main match market resolves to the named player who wins. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, and also in a walkover [1].
The other contracts in the snapshot are different bets on the same match. Two are total games markets, Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5. Two are game handicap markets, but they are not identical: one lists Shchegelskyi Dmytro (-1.5) first and the other lists Parahailo Yurii (-1.5) first [1]. Each has its own title and settlement, so they should be read separately rather than as one field.
Resolution relies on official event statistics. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, the rules allow "a consensus of credible reporting" [1]. The listed end time for all five markets is 2026-10-30T00:15:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T04:45:23.378Z [1]. These are two different times. The prices describe the observation, not the moment you are reading this.
Every outcome in the snapshot is priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal, and it does not show trading volume or the number of participants, so no inference about liquidity or agreement is possible.
All five saved markets for this event are included, and the coverage record marks the sample as not partial [1]. The source also notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Because the sample is complete for this saved event, no outcome is missing from it. No other platform is in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its final result, or any official statistics. It also does not show whether the provider status has changed since the snapshot. Because the excerpt lists the match as scheduled and the snapshot is historical, the outcome is unknown from this evidence.
Differences in wording matter. The two handicap contracts and the two total games contracts have different thresholds or player orderings, so their prices should not be combined or compared as if they measured the same event. Equal prices of 0.5 in this snapshot do not, by themselves, indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Shchegelskyi Dmytro vs. Parahailo Yurii. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract group for a men's table tennis match between Shchegelskyi Dmytro and Parahailo Yurii, part of the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The provider describes the match as scheduled for October 22 at 8:15PM ET [1]. The saved records show five active markets for this match: a match winner market, two total games markets (Over/Under 3.5 and Over/Under 4.5), and two game handicap markets, one for each player at -1.5 and +1.5 [1]. The provider lists an end time of October 30, 2026 at 00:15 UTC for all five markets [1]. The winner market resolves to whichever player wins the match [1]. The total games and game handicap markets are identified by their titles, and the source does not spell out further counting rules for them, so readers should check the provider page for any detail beyond those titles [1]. The rules also set out several outcomes that do not produce a winner. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the winner market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, is defaulted, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. For resolution data, the primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
Why It Matters
The contract group lets users trade on a single scheduled table tennis match in several formats. The winner market tracks which player wins [1]. The total games markets are tied to a 3.5 and 4.5 line, and the game handicap markets are tied to a 1.5 game spread in each direction [1]. Because the rules specify 50-50 outcomes for cancellation, ties, long delays, and walkovers, a result that is not a clear win for either player is handled by a defined fallback [1]. The stated resolution data hierarchy, with official event statistics first and credible reporting as a fallback, determines what information settles each market [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled or not played at all, the winner market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, it also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires or is disqualified during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What data source settles the market?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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