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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

MO-06 House Election Winner

MO-06 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $60.1K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Chris Stigall (R) at 95.3%.

Polymarket

  1. Chris Stigall (R)95.3%
  2. Josh Smead (D)4.8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $60.1K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent

MO-05 House election: Emanuel Cleaver vote percent

K 4.8K contracts
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Emanuel Cleaver receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-05 House election?Yes 97.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky 06 House General Election: voter turnout

Kentucky 06 House General Election: voter turnout

K 789.23 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 06 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 95.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 06 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 06 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 92%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois 06 House General Election: voter turnout

Illinois 06 House General Election: voter turnout

K 0 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 06 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 06 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 06 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 93%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent

MO-04 House election: Mark Alford vote percent

K 11.1K contracts
Will Mark Alford receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mark Alford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Mark Alford receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 96%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent

MO-04 House election: Jordan Herrera vote percent

K 7.2K contracts
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 94.5%
Will Jordan Herrera receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-04 House election?Yes 83.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent

MO-06 House election: Josh Smead vote percent

K 7.3K contracts
Will Josh Smead receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Yes 97%
Will Josh Smead receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Yes 96%
Will Josh Smead receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 MO-06 House election?Yes 87.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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