Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one provider event from Polymarket: "CD Badajoz vs. CD Tenerife - Halftime Result," for a Copa del Rey match. The event description says the game is "scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET" and that the event "contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. The three contracts are worded differently. Two ask whether one team is leading at halftime, and one asks whether the match is a draw at halftime [1]. Because the wording differs, the three contracts answer different questions and should be read separately.

The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z for all three markets [1]. This is a provider field. It is not the resolution, and the supplied evidence does not show how or when each contract settles.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these markets at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:05:43.948Z [1]. Prices from that observation are not current quotes. The saved Yes prices were 0.495 for Badajoz leading at halftime, 0.495 for Tenerife leading at halftime, and 0.31 for a halftime draw [1]. The No prices were 0.505, 0.505, and 0.69 [1].

These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not say why any price was set at its level. The two team-leading contracts are priced equally at that observation, but that is a single point in time. The three Yes prices should not be added or averaged, since they are separate questions and the excerpt does not state how they relate.

The record includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks the sample as not partial [1]. The selection rule orders markets by Yes price, then volume, so no ranking should be read as a judgment about the match.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, number of traders, or any news about the teams. It also does not explain the price levels.

The sample warning states that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Outcomes not listed here should not be assumed to have lower prices. The snapshot also cannot show whether prices will change before the match. Readers should check the provider's live page and the contract rules before relying on any figure.

References

1. Polymarket: CD Badajoz vs. CD Tenerife - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.