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Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread

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Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread

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Polymarket

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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11 markets tracked

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?	Kalshi	75%
Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?	Kalshi	66%
Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?	Kalshi	56%
Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?	Kalshi	43%
Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?	Kalshi	34%
Las Vegas wins by over 16.5 points?	Kalshi	26%
Portland wins by over 1.5 points?	Kalshi	23%
Las Vegas wins by over 19.5 points?	Kalshi	19%
Portland wins by over 3.5 points?	Kalshi	18%
Portland wins by over 6.5 points?	Kalshi	12%
Portland wins by over 9.5 points?	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

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About This Event

LV vs PDX (Jul 9) If Portland wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than X points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LV vs PDX (Jul 9)

If Portland wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than X points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Portland wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than 6.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Portland wins by over 6.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Portland wins by over 3.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Portland wins by over 1.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Portland wins by over 9.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Las Vegas wins by over 19.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Las Vegas wins by over 16.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHISports

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

If Las Vegas wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than 1.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.0¢No 34.0¢

KALSHISports

Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?

If Las Vegas wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than 4.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHISports

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?

If Las Vegas wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than 7.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

KALSHISports

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?

If Las Vegas wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than 10.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

KALSHI

Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.5¢No 66.5¢

KALSHISports

Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?

If Las Vegas wins the Las Vegas vs Portland women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 by more than 13.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

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Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread

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Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

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Events (1)

Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread

Markets (11)

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

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Las Vegas vs Portland: Spread

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 1.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 4.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 7.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 10.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?

Las Vegas wins by over 13.5 points?

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