Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Total Volume

$13.57K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Vol

$13.57K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $13.57K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.57K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	92%
Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	89%
Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	89%
Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	72%
Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	55%
Will Jon Hamm be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	45%
Will Tom Hiddleston be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	23%
Will Walton Goggins be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	13%
Will Joel Edgerton be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	8%
Will Billy Crudup be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$13.57K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the pr

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 84th Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 84th Golden Globe Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the pr

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Walton Goggins is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Walton Goggins be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tom Hiddleston be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jon Hamm be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Joel Edgerton be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Billy Crudup be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2027): Vol $986
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Volume$13.57K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Noah Wyle is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, asso

KALSHI

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Gary Oldman is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, as

KALSHI

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Sterling K. Brown is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliat

KALSHI

Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Rufus Sewell is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.0¢No 45.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

If Peter Claffey is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 84th Golden Globe Awards are expected to be announced on Monday, December 7, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated,

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SHwi7T" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama"></iframe>

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Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

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Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Markets (10)

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Noah Wyle be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Gary Oldman be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Sterling K. Brown be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Rufus Sewell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

Will Peter Claffey be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

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