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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

Name: New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC
End: 2026-05-03T19:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$352.73

Events

Markets

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New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

Vol

$352.73

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $352.73

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $352.73

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	57%
Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?	Poly	25%
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$352.73

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between New York City FC and D.C. United SC.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between New York City FC and D.C. United SC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026
If New York City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $353
* **Total Liquidity:** $665.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $99
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between New York City FC and D.C. United SC.

Volume$352.73

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If New York City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game,

POLYMARKET

Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

POLYMARKET

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If D.C. United SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, th

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/SIKHVi" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC"></iframe>

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New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

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Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

Markets (3)

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?

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Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

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New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?

Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?

Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?

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