HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET
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HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET
PM $0
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET" and is listed on Polymarket. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. The source states that "this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a HYPE price on another venue should expect the outcome to follow Binance only. The source also says the close and open shown for the relevant "1H" candle "will be used once the data for that candle is finalized" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 18:15:28 UTC on the same day [1]. Those are different moments. The observation time is when the price was recorded, and the retrieval time is when this record was assembled. Neither should be read as a live quote.
The snapshot lists two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are recorded prices from one observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The listed end time is 2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z, which is the close of the candle the contract refers to [1].
The sample covers one market from one provider event, with no partial sampling. There is nothing to compare against, so this record cannot show how this contract's prices relate to other HYPE contracts or to other platforms.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the final open or close values for the candle, so the resolved outcome cannot be determined from this record. It also does not include price history between observation and listed close, any news, or any explanation for the quoted prices.
Because the contract title uses Eastern Time and the listed end time is given in UTC, readers should confirm the time zone conversion before relying on the timing.
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a Polymarket contract titled "HYPE Up or Down - October 15, 3PM ET" in the crypto category. It asks whether the HYPE/USDT one-hour candle that begins at the time in the title will close up or down. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for that candle, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. Under these rules, a candle that closes exactly at its opening price resolves to "Up" [1]. The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. The open and close displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price on Binance HYPE/USDT, not prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. A contract can therefore resolve differently from another HYPE price measure if that measure uses a different venue or pair. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-15T20:00:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is given in UTC, so readers should check both when following the timing. The market data in this article is a snapshot observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved from the provider's record at 2026-10-15T18:15:28.145Z [1]. Those times describe when the record was captured, not when the contract closes or resolves. The saved record shows the status as active at that retrieval [1]. The saved snapshot lists two outcomes, Up and Down, each priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The saved record does not include trading volume, so this article cannot say anything about liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one thing: whether the Binance HYPE/USDT one-hour candle beginning at the stated time closes at or above its open [1]. It does not measure HYPE's price over a longer period, its price on other exchanges, or any outcome beyond that single candle. Because the resolution is tied to a specific venue and pair, the result depends on Binance's displayed open and close for that candle once that data is finalized [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" resolution require?
An "Up" resolution requires the close price to be greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title [1].
Does a flat candle resolve Up or Down?
A candle whose close equals its open resolves "Up," because the rule uses greater than or equal to [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. Prices on other exchanges or other trading pairs are not used under the stated rules [1].
When are the open and close values used?
The open and close displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
Do the displayed prices show the chance of an outcome?
The saved prices of 0.5 for both Up and Down are snapshot values from the provider record [1]. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
