BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
PM $0
1
1
BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is a short-window price direction market on BNB. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The window is 1:30 PM to 1:45 PM ET on October 26, and the listed end time is 2026-10-26T17:45:00Z [1].
The rules name a specific resolution source: the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The provider states that the market is about that stream "and not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a BNB price on another exchange or data feed should expect that the two may not measure the same thing.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot lists two outcomes on Polymarket: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is 0.01, and the two prices sum to 1.00 in this record.
The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-25T18:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T20:43:04Z [1]. It describes the market at the observation time only. It does not show current prices, and it does not show whether the market has changed since then.
This sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because there is only one market here, no other outcome or contract can be compared with these prices. The record does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many traders took part.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices sit where they do, and this note does not offer a reason. It also contains no information about the resolved result, since the listed end time is in the future relative to the retrieval time [1].
The source lists the provider status as active at observation, but it does not confirm the status at any later time [1]. Readers should check the live contract rules and the Chainlink data stream directly before relying on any price or resolution detail.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto contract on Polymarket asking whether BNB will be up or down over a fixed window. The event is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET," and its listed end time is 2026-10-26T17:45:00.000Z [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is defined by a specific data feed rather than by general market prices. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream generated by Chainlink [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader therefore needs to understand how that feed calculates its average, not only where BNB trades on exchanges. The saved market data shows one outcome listing for this event. The "Up" outcome had a price of 0.505 and the "Down" outcome had a price of 0.495 in the observation recorded at 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z, and the provider status at that observation was active [1]. These figures are snapshots of listed prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The source record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T20:43:04.082Z [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's Chainlink-based TWAP over a 15-minute window, compared with the price at the window's start [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than a single price at its close, the result can differ from a simple comparison of the starting and ending spot prices. The rules specify that only the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream counts for resolution [1]. Prices on this contract reflect how participants value the "Up" and "Down" outcomes at the observed time, and they do not, by themselves, establish what will happen [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What makes this contract resolve to Down?
It resolves to "Down" when the time-weighted average price over that range is below the price at the beginning of the range [1].
Which price data determines the outcome?
The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources and spot markets are not used [1].
Is the listed end time the same as the time window's end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T17:45:00.000Z, and the title gives the window as 1:30PM to 1:45PM ET on October 26 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
BNB Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
PM $0
ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.