Sivasspor vs Sariyer: Spread
K 0 contracts
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4
Sivasspor vs Sariyer: Spread
K 0 contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
SIV vs SAR (Oct 17) If Sivasspor wins by more than X goals in the Sivasspor vs Sariyer professional TFF 1. Lig soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event is titled "Sivasspor vs Sariyer: Spread" and is listed on Kalshi [1]. Each contract asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. The source says the market resolves to Yes if Sivasspor wins by more than X goals in the professional TFF 1. Lig game "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The phrase "originally scheduled" means the excerpt does not confirm the match was played on that date.
The four saved markets use different thresholds: Sivasspor by more than 1.5 goals, Sariyer by more than 1.5 goals, Sivasspor by more than 2.5 goals, and Sariyer by more than 2.5 goals [1]. These are separate contracts with separate outcomes. They should not be averaged or merged into one probability.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:53:46Z [1]. They describe that earlier observation, not live trading. Quoted Yes prices were 0.18 for Sivasspor by more than 1.5 goals, 0.125 for Sariyer by more than 1.5 goals, 0.06 for Sivasspor by more than 2.5 goals, and 0.045 for Sariyer by more than 2.5 goals [1]. Each Yes and No pair sums to 1.00 within the quoted figures, but these are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Listed close time for each market is 2026-10-19T13:00:00Z, while the event-level end time is "not supplied" [1]. The contract text says the market closes and expires after a winner is declared, so the listed date is not a statement of when the match will be decided.
The saved sample includes all four markets for this event, with no partial sampling flagged [1]. The provider's own sample note states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Any absence of other outcomes should not be read as a low price.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show current prices, trading volume, the number of participants, or any reason for the quoted levels. It also does not confirm the match result or whether the game was played on the originally scheduled date. The excerpt includes a Kalshi statement that it is not affiliated with the governing league [1], which is relevant when reading the event's connection to league branding.
References
- Kalshi: Sivasspor vs Sariyer: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Sivasspor vs Sariyer: Spread," tied to a professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match between Sivasspor and Sariyer that was originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The event is a spread market, so its contracts ask about the margin of victory rather than only which team wins. According to the contract rules, a market resolves to Yes if Sivasspor wins by more than the stated number of goals, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not counted [1]. The same margin logic applies to the Sariyer contracts, which ask whether Sariyer wins by more than a stated number of goals under the same time rules [1]. The saved event contains four contracts: Sivasspor by more than 1.5 goals, Sariyer by more than 1.5 goals, Sivasspor by more than 2.5 goals, and Sariyer by more than 2.5 goals [1]. Each contract has a close date in its market data of October 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC. That date is a contract field, not an announced event time or a confirmed result. The rules state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The provider's excerpt does not supply a separate listed end time [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific team wins by more than a set number of goals in the regulation portion of the match. Because the outcome depends on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, a match that goes to extra time or penalties is judged on the score at the end of regulation under these rules [1]. Readers should check each contract's exact threshold and time rules before interpreting a Yes or No outcome, since the four listed contracts use different margins [1]. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated with the governing league and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Sivasspor vs Sariyer spread contract measure?
It measures whether one team wins by more than a stated number of goals in the match. The listed contracts use thresholds of 1.5 and 2.5 goals for each team [1].
Are extra time and penalties counted?
No. The contract rules state that the match is judged after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].
When does the market close?
The contract rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The market data lists an end date of October 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC, but that is a contract field and not an announced event time [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league?
The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
