Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations

Name: Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations
End: 2027-03-15T03:59:00.000Z

Reported volume

PM $8.1K

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Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations

Vol

PM $8.1K

Events

Markets

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$8.1K

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Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?

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Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	79.0%
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	78.0%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	77.5%
Will "Being Heumann" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	47.0%
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	46.0%
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	32.5%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	29.5%
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	22.0%
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	21.5%
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	19.5%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	19.0%
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	18.5%
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	13.5%
Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	6.5%
Will "Saturn Return" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5.0%
Will "UNABOMBER" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	3.0%
Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	2.9%

Rules & Resolution

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PM $8.1K

Reported volume · provider units

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Oscars 2027: Best Casting Nominations
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $8.1K
Coverage: 17 of 17 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686345; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-odyssey-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.3K
Outcome Yes: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686346; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-black-ball-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.8K
Outcome Yes: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686347; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-wild-horse-nine-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $310.01
Outcome Yes: 77.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 22.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686348; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-debut-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $348.66
Outcome Yes: 46.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Being Heumann" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686349; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-being-heumann-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $63.16
Outcome Yes: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686350; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-invite-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $545.13
Outcome Yes: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686351; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-obsession-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $40.02
Outcome Yes: 32.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686353; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-fjord-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686354; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-digger-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686356; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dune-part-three-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $60.04
Outcome Yes: 18.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686358; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-all-of-a-sudden-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $764.63
Outcome Yes: 19.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686360; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-michael-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $135
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686362; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-project-hail-mary-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686363; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-clarissa-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $339.9
Outcome Yes: 2.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Saturn Return" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686365; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-saturn-return-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $231.06
Outcome Yes: 5.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686368; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-cry-to-heaven-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $798.07
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will "UNABOMBER" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-5686370; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-unabomber-be-nominated-for-best-casting-at-the-99th-academy-awards-20261013180153422
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Mar 15, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $352.88
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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