Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 6.3K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
57
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET
If the value of the Index.US30/USD is at least X at 4pm EDT on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the Index.US30/USD at the exact time specified in 4pm EDT on Oct 15, 2026, as reported by Pyth Network, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. If the value of the Index.US30/USD at 4pm EDT on Oct 15, 2026 is at least X the market resolves to Yes. If not, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. If no data is available for 4pm EDT on Oct 15, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
57 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,075 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(57)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,075 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,100 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,125 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,150 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,175 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,200 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,225 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,250 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,275 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,300 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,325 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,350 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
99.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,375 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,400 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,425 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,450 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,475 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,500 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,525 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,550 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
98.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,600 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
96.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,575 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
96.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,650 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
95.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,625 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
95.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,675 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
94.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,700 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
94.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,725 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
92.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,750 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
91.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,775 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
89.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,800 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
87.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,825 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
85.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,850 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
82.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,875 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
79.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,900 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
75.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,925 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
71.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,950 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
67.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $51,975 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
62.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,000 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
58.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,025 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
52.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,050 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
47.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,075 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
42.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,100 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
37.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,150 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
36.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,125 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
36.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,175 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
23.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,200 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
20.0%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,225 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
17.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,300 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
16.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,275 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
16.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,250 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
16.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,375 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
11.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,350 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
11.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,325 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
11.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,425 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
8.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,400 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
8.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,475 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
5.5%
Will the Index.US30/USD be at least $52,450 at October 15, 2026 at 4pm ET?
Kalshi
5.5%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.