Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group D
PM $6.4K
1
3
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group D
PM $6.4K
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $6.4K
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between MANA eSports and WRAITH PCIFIC in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for June 1 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "MANA eSports" if MANA eSports win the match against WRAITH PCIFIC. This market will resolve to "WRAITH PCIFIC" if WRAITH PCIFIC win the match against MANA eSports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event covers the Counter-Strike match between MANA eSports and WRAITH PCIFIC in the United21 Group D. The rules state that the market "will resolve to 'MANA eSports' if MANA eSports win the match against WRAITH PCIFIC" [1]. Matches that are canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner resolve 50-50, and so do forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers that end before the match starts [1].
The source named for results is HLTV, with a fallback: if HLTV has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence" [1]. The rules also say minor team-name discrepancies are not grounds for failure to match, provided the intended team can be identified clearly [1].
The three saved markets are "Map 1," "Map 2," and "Map 3," each titled "Odd/Even Total Kills?" with outcomes "Odd" and "Even" [1]. These are separate contracts from the match-winner rule above, and the supplied evidence does not link their resolution rules to that text.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:15:21.986Z [1]. These are different times. Prices describe the provider's state at observation, not a live quote at retrieval.
Each of the three map markets shows Odd at 0.5 and Even at 0.5 [1]. Equal prices indicate that the saved snapshot shows no difference between the two outcomes. They are not verified probabilities, and they are not executable quotes. The evidence does not include volume or order-book depth, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people traded.
The listed end time for all three markets is 2026-06-09T03:59:00.000Z [1]. That is earlier than the retrieval date, so the snapshot should be read as describing a closed-date listing in the record. The rules mention an initial schedule of June 1 at 9:30AM ET [1]. The evidence does not establish whether the match was played, when it was played, or what its result was.
The provider marks the event status as "active" [1], which reflects the saved record only.
What remains uncertain
Only one source and one platform appear in this evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The sample includes all three saved map markets for this event, with partialSample set to false [1]. However, the provider warns that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence does not show a match-winner price, so it cannot be used to infer one.
The evidence also does not explain any price movement, state the match result, or confirm that HLTV has published results.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group D. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Counter-Strike match listed on Polymarket under the title Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3), part of the United21 Group D. The event page describes the match as one initially scheduled for June 1 at 9:30AM ET [1]. The saved record includes three markets from this event, one for each of Map 1, Map 2 and Map 3, each asking whether the total kills on that map will be odd or even. Each saved market shows the Odd and Even outcomes at 0.50 [1]. The event's written rules describe a match-winner contract. If MANA eSports win, the market resolves to MANA eSports, and if WRAITH PCIFIC win, it resolves to WRAITH PCIFIC [1]. The saved rules do not separately describe how the odd or even total kills markets settle, so the match-winner rules should not be assumed to govern those three markets without further documentation. The event record lists an end time of June 9, 2026 at 03:59 UTC [1]. That is a date in the contract rules. It is not a confirmed match date or an announced resolution. The saved record labels the provider status as active, but that label describes the saved record and does not establish whether the match has been played or the markets have settled.
Why It Matters
The event contract explains how the match-winner question would settle. A win by either named team resolves the event to that team [1]. The contract also addresses cases where a match does not produce a clear winner. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days from its scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A forfeit, disqualification or walkover before the start also resolves 50-50, while a team that wins after the opponent's forfeit, disqualification or walkover during a started match is treated as the winner [1]. The rules name HLTV as the resolution source. If HLTV has not published final results within two hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting, including video evidence, may be used instead [1]. The rules also allow minor name differences, abbreviations, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations and regional identifiers to refer to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly identified within the competition. If a name cannot be unambiguously matched, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The three odd or even total kills markets are separate contracts from the match-winner rule described in the event text. Their saved prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Equal prices in one snapshot do not show what the outcome will be, and differences between related contracts should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without checking each contract's own rules.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does this market resolve to if one team wins?
The event rules state that the market resolves to MANA eSports if MANA eSports win the match, and to WRAITH PCIFIC if WRAITH PCIFIC win [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?
If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
Where will the result be taken from?
The stated resolution source is HLTV. If HLTV has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting, which may include video evidence, may be used instead [1].
Do the odd or even kills markets follow the same rules?
The saved event rules describe match-winner resolution. They do not separately describe how the Map 1, Map 2 and Map 3 odd or even total kills markets settle, so those markets should be checked against their own full rules [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Counter-Strike: gothboiclique vs Bread Eaters Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C
PM $58.69Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - United21 Group C
PM $15.81Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
PM $5.5KCounter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Sökerorg (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage
PM $1.4KCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
PM $976.51Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
PM $379.64Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.