BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary market on BNB price direction for a five-minute window, the period titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A different BNB price feed, exchange, or spot market could show different movements, so comparisons with other contracts should check their resolution sources first.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:35:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time in the provider data. It is not a date announced for any other event.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:14:15Z [1]. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1]. These prices describe that observation and are not current quotes.
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. Treating them as a rough market-implied split is a reading of the saved numbers only. The prices are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of an outcome. The sample includes one market, with no volume or liquidity data shown in the evidence, so nothing can be said about how much trading supported these prices or how many participants were involved.
What remains uncertain
The coverage is complete for this saved event: one of one market was included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The evidence does not establish that these outcomes cover every possible result, and it does not describe any later price changes. Because the observation predates retrieval by more than an hour, and both precede the contract's listed end time, the snapshot should not be read as the state of the market today. The evidence also gives no explanation for why the prices are where they are.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB over a five-minute window will be higher or lower than at the start of that window. According to the listed rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the contract concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not according to any other source or spot market [1]. This means that a price shown on an exchange or another data provider does not determine the outcome by itself. The saved provider record lists the market as a single binary contract with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:35:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 10:35PM ET window in the title [1]. The record for this event was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and retrieved by this application at 2026-10-19T04:14:15Z, so any price or status shown reflects those earlier moments rather than the present.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over one five-minute interval, using a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price [1]. Because the comparison is between the average over the window and the price at the window's start, the result depends on how the price moves across the interval, not only on where it ends [1]. The rules tie resolution to one named data stream, so the contract is a bet on that specific Chainlink reading rather than on BNB in general [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should keep in mind that a snapshot is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves to Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which data source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the result?
The rules state that the market concerns the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for BNB/USD, and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the window for this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:35:00Z, which matches the 10:35PM ET close named in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.