Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Dogecoin price direction over a short window. The source states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the source says the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T21:30:00.000Z [1]. The title refers to a window ending 5:30PM ET, which corresponds to the same closing point in this evidence.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T01:24:30.581Z [1]. These are different moments, and neither is the contract close or a resolution. The prices below describe only the observation time, not the present.
At that observation, the saved market showed "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. Because these are snapshot quotes, they are not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
The coverage record lists one market in one event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The sample therefore contains only this contract. No other platform's contract is included, so there is no cross-platform comparison to make. The evidence does not include volume or any count of traders, so nothing can be said about liquidity or participation.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the price stood at an even split at the observation time. It also does not show any price after that snapshot, so the current quote is unknown from these sources.
The source notes that all saved markets for this event are included, but "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this contract is binary, that caveat matters mainly for understanding the scope of the record. Readers should also check the listed close time and the specific Chainlink stream when comparing this contract with any similarly named market, because differences in wording or closing time can change what is being measured.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T00:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Dogecoin price contract listed on Polymarket. The event is titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET" and is categorized as crypto [1]. It asks whether DOGE/USD moves up or down across a fixed 15-minute window. The saved snapshot lists two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The rules define the result by comparing two prices. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on the average price across the window compared with the starting price, not on the price at the final moment. The resolution source is Chainlink. Specifically, the rules name the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Dogecoin price shown on an exchange or aggregator should keep that distinction in mind. The listed end time in the source is 2026-10-26T21:30:00.000Z [1]. The provider status in the saved record is active [1]. That status describes the saved record only and is not a live check.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated 15-minute window finishes at or above its starting level [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, it reflects how the price behaved across the window as well as where it ended. The rules limit the measure to that one data stream, so the contract is a question about that specific reference rather than about Dogecoin prices in general [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up result mean for this contract?
The contract resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1].
What does a Down result mean?
If the time-weighted average price over the window is below the price at the start of the window, the contract resolves to Down [1].
Which price feed decides the outcome?
The outcome is determined by the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, as named in the rules [1].
Do prices from other exchanges or spot markets count?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not according to other sources or spot markets [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.