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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Naida Oleksandr vs. Skachenko Serhii

Naida Oleksandr vs. Skachenko Serhii
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Naida Oleksandr and Skachenko Serhii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 26 at 9:55PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naida Oleksandr' if Naida Oleksandr wins against Skachenko Serhii. This market will resolve to 'Skachenko Serhii' if Skachenko Serhii wins against Naida Oleksandr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one provider event, the table tennis match between Naida Oleksandr and Skachenko Serhii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition. The event page says the match is "scheduled for October 23 at 12:25AM ET" [1]. The winner market resolves to the named player who wins, but it resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, "ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" [1]. A walkover also resolves to 50-50, and a player who advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified is treated as the winner [1].

The rules name the primary resolution source as "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a fallback to "a consensus of credible reporting" if final statistics are not published "within 2 hours after the event's conclusion" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-10-30T04:25:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time, not a confirmed resolution time, and it differs from the scheduled match time.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-23T01:51:56.525Z [1]. These prices describe that observed moment only and may have changed since.

The match winner market shows Naida Oleksandr at 0.34 and Skachenko Serhii at 0.66 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The total games markets for Over and Under 3.5 and for Over and Under 4.5 each show 0.5 for both sides [1]. The two game handicap markets, one framed as Naida Oleksandr (-1.5) and one as Skachenko Serhii (-1.5), also each show 0.5 for both sides [1]. These contracts use different wording, so their prices should not be compared as if they were the same outcome.

The coverage record lists 5 markets, with all 5 included and no partial sample [1]. Even so, the sample warning states that the saved markets "do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The selection rule is ordering by price and then volume, so the absence of a market is not evidence about its price.

What remains uncertain

This evidence covers one provider event from one platform. It does not include other platforms, so no cross-platform comparison or arbitrage conclusion can be drawn. Volume is not liquidity, and the evidence does not report trader counts or the reasons any price moved.

The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match has started, or whether it will be played as scheduled. It also does not state the governing body's publication timing beyond the rule text. Readers should check the current contract page and official match information before relying on any figure.

References

  1. Polymarket: Naida Oleksandr vs. Skachenko Serhii. Provider data observed 2026-10-23T00:00:06.081Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This contract is a sports prediction market on a table tennis match between Naida Oleksandr and Skachenko Serhii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 23 at 12:25AM ET [1]. The saved event has five markets: a match winner contract, two total games contracts at 3.5 and 4.5 games, and two game handicap contracts at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. The match winner contract resolves to 'Naida Oleksandr' if that player wins, and to 'Skachenko Serhii' if that player wins [1]. The total games contracts ask whether the match goes over or under the stated number of games, and the game handicap contracts settle based on the adjusted game margin for each player [1]. The saved event lists an end time of 2026-10-30T04:25:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed end time, not the scheduled start of the match, and the source does not say when the match was actually played. The resolution rules cover several outcomes beyond a normal finish. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed because a player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].

Why It Matters

The contracts measure outcomes of a single scheduled table tennis match. The match winner contract tracks which player wins. The total games contracts track whether the combined number of games is above or below 3.5 or 4.5. The game handicap contracts track whether a player wins by the adjusted margin of 1.5 games [1]. Because the match is a single contest with defined resolution rules, the contract's outcome depends on the official result and the rules for cancellation, retirement, or walkover [1]. The price shown for each outcome is a snapshot of the market at the observation time. It is not an executable quote and is not a verified probability of either player winning. The total games and game handicap contracts were each priced at 0.5 for both outcomes in this snapshot, while the match winner contract showed 0.34 for Naida Oleksandr and 0.66 for Skachenko Serhii [1]. These figures describe the market at one moment and do not explain why prices were set at those levels.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-23 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the match is not played?

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50. A walkover also resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if a player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

What source determines the result?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].

Does the listed end date mean the match is on that date?

No. The saved event lists an end time of 2026-10-30T04:25:00.000Z [1]. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 23 at 12:25AM ET [1], so the listed end time should be read as the contract's stated end time.

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Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

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