Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers a Polymarket event for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie match between Heracles Almelo and TOP Oss, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET [1]. Each contract asks whether the final score will match one specific scoreline, such as "Heracles Almelo 0 - 0 TOP Oss" [1].

The rules limit resolution to the score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. A score not among the listed outcomes resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].

The listed end time is 2026-11-02T19:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not a confirmed result time, and the excerpt does not say when the match will be played or finished.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-28T07:47:52.956Z [1]. The prices describe that earlier observation only. They are not live quotes and may not reflect current trading.

Twelve of 37 contracts from this event are included [1]. Within the sample, eleven scorelines show a Yes price of 0.375 and a No price of 0.625. The "Heracles Almelo 0 - 1 TOP Oss" contract shows Yes at 0.37 and No at 0.63 [1]. The sample ranks contracts by Yes price, then volume, so the omitted 25 contracts are not known to be priced lower. The sample does not explain why these prices are identical, and the evidence does not show how many traders hold these positions.

Each included contract's Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. These are quoted prices, not verified probabilities.

What remains uncertain

The match has not been played according to the supplied evidence, so no outcome is known. The sample excludes most of the event's contracts, so it cannot describe the full field. Because the contracts use different scorelines, their prices should not be averaged or treated as one combined estimate. Differences in price between contracts are not, by themselves, an arbitrage opportunity, since each contract resolves on different terms and requires separate execution checks. Readers should also note that the listed close time and the resolution sources may matter if the match is postponed or official statistics are delayed [1].

References

1. Polymarket: Heracles Almelo vs. TOP Oss - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T06:00:06.006Z.