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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Name: Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs
End: 2026-05-03T06:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$0.00

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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Vol

$0.00

Events

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Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner	Poly	73%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 1 Winner	Poly	73%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs	Poly	72%
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Incognito (+1.5)	Poly	64%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between M80 and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Incognito. This market will resolve to "Incognito" if Incognito win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this m

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between M80 and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 8:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Incognito.

This market will resolve to "Incognito" if Incognito win the match against M80.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this m

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between M80 and Incognito in the Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 8:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win Map 2 against Incognito.

This market will resolve to "Inco"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [M80: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [Incognito: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [M80: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [Incognito: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [M80: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [Incognito: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Incognito (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [M80: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [Incognito: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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POLYMARKET

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

POLYMARKET

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 2 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, inc

POLYMARKET

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 2 is an even number. "Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the

POLYMARKET

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Map 3 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all kills recorded during the match across all rounds, inc

POLYMARKET

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined rounds played by both teams in Map 3 is an even number. "Total combined rounds" is the sum of rounds won by both teams during the

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Average Yes Price

56¢

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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Markets (11)

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Incognito - Map 2 Winner

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?

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